XRP price prediction: Sellers keep control as outflows push price toward $2 support

Traders Union
All News
Crypto News
XRP weakens as outflows rise

Highlights

Spot outflows reach $225K as selling persists.
Open interest slips 0.71% to $3.7B.
XRP trades below all major EMAs with RSI near 40.

Persistent outflows have defined XRP’s structure since late October. Investors continue selling into strength across almost every session, stopping attempts to build sustainable momentum. This controlled distribution has guided price from the $3 region down to current levels, with each rebound met by renewed supply.

Spot weakness keeps pressure on trend structure

The latest outflow reading reinforces a steady unwind rather than panic. Markets continue to show red liquidity bars nearly every day, a signal that larger holders prefer reducing exposure. Without a shift in flows, XRP remains unable to break free from its broader downtrend.

Derivatives reflect the same caution. Open interest slipped 0.71% to $3.7 billion, underscoring reduced leverage participation. Options volume collapsed 78%, showing a steep decline in speculative activity. While Binance shows a 2.77 long–short ratio and OKX sits at 1.83, the global ratio remains below 1.0, signalling limited interest in building directional longs.

XRP price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

On the daily chart, XRP trades beneath every major EMA. The 20-day EMA at $2.11 has served as a persistent ceiling, with repeated intraday rallies failing to close above it. The 50-day EMA at $2.24, 100-day EMA at $2.41 and 200-day EMA at $2.46 form a tight resistance stack. RSI near 40 highlights weak momentum but does not yet signal exhaustion.

Short-term signals show sellers maintaining control

Short-term structure confirms the broader trend. On the 30-minute chart, XRP remains under a firm Supertrend sell signal. SAR levels stay above price, showing sellers still control intraday direction. Attempts to reclaim $2.05 and $2.06 have been rejected consistently, turning that region into resistance.

Earlier today’s breakdown from $2.10 occurred with rising sell volume, aligning with the series of lower highs forming across multiple timeframes. Short-lived rebounds remain fragile, as derivatives and spot participation show no appetite for sustained accumulation.

Futures open interest trends add another layer of caution. OI has been steadily declining since peaking near $12 billion mid-year. The recent slide to $3.7 billion highlights a market stepping back rather than building for a new move. Price stability alongside falling open interest often signals hesitation and the potential for deeper consolidation unless catalysts emerge.

XRP now trades inside a sensitive support zone at $1.98–$2.02. Each bounce from this band grows weaker, and a break below $1.98 opens liquidity gaps toward $1.92 and $1.85. Upside remains capped until XRP can close above the 20-day EMA at $2.11. Subsequent hurdles sit at $2.24 and $2.41.

Outlook as XRP tests fragile support

XRP’s landscape is defined by outflows, weakening derivatives participation and a trend that remains firmly downward. There are no technical signs of imminent reversal. Until flows turn positive and XRP reclaims its EMA structure, rallies are likely to fade quickly.

Previously, we discussed how XRP’s inability to hold above short-term resistances and rising outflows continued to restrict upside momentum. The current setup reinforces that view, keeping the focus on whether the $1.98 level can hold through the week.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.