Hedera price prediction: Can fresh ETF demand fuel upside? HBAR gains 7.10%

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Hedera jumps 7.10% to $0.1162 today

Highlights

Hedera's native token continues to support smart contracts and file storage solutions as the network advances throughput capabilities.
U.S. spot HBAR ETFs launched in late October attracted cumulative inflows of $83.70 million by year-end, representing 1.11% of market capitalization.
Most HBAR ETF inflows occurred during the initial weeks post-launch, with subsequent additions modest as enterprise interest in Hedera remains steady.

ETF inflows slow as enterprise adoption tempers institutional demand

Hedera's native token continues to support smart contracts and file storage solutions as the network advances its throughput capabilities. Institutional activity remains moderate, highlighted by U.S. spot HBAR ETFs that drew a cumulative $83.70 million in inflows after their late October launch, accounting for 1.11% of market capitalization by year-end. The bulk of these inflows occurred during the ETFs’ initial weeks, with subsequent additions modest as the Hedera platform retains enterprise interest.

Bearish signals persist as resistance clusters and momentum diverge

Technically, HBAR’s closest dynamic resistance is at the MA-50 near $0.1301, with $0.1231 (Ichimoku Kijun) providing an additional ceiling, while the MA-20 acts as immediate support. Momentum indicators are mixed — the daily MACD shows strong bearishness, ADX is moderately strong but negative, while oscillators highlight short-term overheating (Stoch RSI at 100, RSI near neutral at 44, CCI around -35). BBP signals persistent buyer dominance, and the assertive upside gap at the session open confirms strong intraday enthusiasm despite technical caution.

Sideways outlook prevails as overbought signals curb breakout odds

For the coming five trading days, HBAR is expected to oscillate between $0.1100 and $0.1240, reflecting typical volatility relative to current levels. Strong resistance near $0.1240 and the MA-50 at $0.1300, combined with overbought short-term indicators, limit the chances of a further sustainable rally to below 20%. The baseline scenario is sideways movement around $0.1160; a break below $0.1100 could accelerate selling pressure in line with prevailing long-term bearish trends.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, notes that HBAR shows improving short-term sentiment but faces stubborn medium- and long-term resistance. He sees institutional interest as steady, with ETF inflows supporting fundamental confidence in the network’s adoption story. Sideways movement is likely as technical signals remain mixed and short-term overheating limits near-term upside. "I believe HBAR’s fundamental backdrop remains solid, and if momentum persists above $0.1100, the stage is set for medium-term recovery opportunities."

Previously it was reported that Hedera is trading just above its short-term moving average amid persistent bearish pressure, with the price remaining well below medium- and long-term averages and most momentum indicators (MACD, ADX, RSI, CCI) reflecting weak sentiment and oversold conditions. Key resistance stands at the Ichimoku Kijun, with the MA-20 acting as support, and the outlook favors further downside or range-bound consolidation unless a decisive breakout above resistance occurs.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.