XRP price prediction: $1.32–$1.34 range in focus as XRP sees renewed decline

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XRP slides 1.15% today to $1.33

Highlights

XRP Ledger advanced toward smart escrow capabilities with prerelease XLS-100 documentation, as corporates launched blockchain payment pilots following regulatory clarification.
Ripple saw $10 billion in Q1 2026 processed transactions, up from $7.2 billion, with over $120 million institutional ETF inflows, though price remained under broad selling pressure.
XRP trades below key moving averages and momentum signals remain bearish, with price expected to range between $1.32 and $1.34 and low probability of near-term upside.

Institutional inflows rise as corporations trial XRP technology

On April 11, 2026, the XRP Ledger published final prerelease documentation for the XLS-100 Smart Escrows, marking progress toward programmable escrow functionality, though it is not yet active on mainnet. Major corporations, including Coca-Cola and American Airlines, have commenced pilot programs employing XRP Ledger technology to test blockchain-based payments amid recent regulatory clarity around XRP. Ripple processed over $10 billion in global transactions in the first quarter of 2026, up from $7.2 billion a year earlier, with significant institutional inflows including over $120 million in ETF-related investments primarily via OTC desks. Regulatory developments clarified XRP's classification, attracting further interest from major financial institutions, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum confirmed as technical signals favor sellers

Technically, XRP remains under bearish pressure with price below all key moving averages and the Ichimoku Kijun resistance at $1.4429 just overhead. The D1 MACD issues a strong sell signal as momentum stays weak, with ADX confirming a low, neutral trend. RSI at 47.97 points to slight negative momentum, while Stoch RSI and CCI show neutral readings; BBP, however, is positive, indicating intraday buy attempts despite the dominant sell signals. Volatility is moderate as price trades near daily lows.

Range-bound movement expected as upside risk remains limited

Over the next five trading days, typical volatility places XRP in a range between $1.32 and $1.34, with a less than 20% probability of upward movement, pointing to a higher likelihood of continued decline. The baseline scenario expects the price to stay sideways between established support and resistance. A bullish scenario would require a decisive breakout above $1.44, while persistent selling below $1.32 would expose further downside risk.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, sees XRP’s recent selling pressure as a technical setback but notes strong progress on the fundamentals. He highlights rising adoption by major corporations and significant institutional inflows, which are underpinned by greater regulatory clarity. Despite short-term price weakness, Karapetjanc believes these macro and sentiment factors could support a recovery once resistance at $1.44 is overcome. "If XRP can reclaim strength above $1.44, the improving institutional landscape and adoption story may quickly reignite bullish momentum."

Previously it was reported that XRP faced persistent bearish momentum despite glimpses of institutional interest and incremental regulatory clarity. The current analysis not only reinforces this view but also highlights that meaningful upside remains unlikely unless there is a decisive move above $1.44, making this level a critical threshold for any bullish reversal.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.