Pendle price prediction: Will the $1.07–$1.15 range hold as PENDLE rises 7.15%?

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Pendle jumps 7.15% today to $1.109

Highlights

Pendle executed sPENDLE token buybacks after a sharp 85.8% decline in protocol revenue from its April 2024 peak.
With major competitors scaling back, Pendle now dominates yield tokenization in DeFi, registering $44.6 million in total fees and $5.7 billion average TVL in 2025.
Technical signals are broadly bearish with PENDLE likely to trade in a $1.07–$1.15 consolidation band, favoring further downside unless $1.16 resistance breaks.

Buybacks and market exits support Pendle amid fee contraction

Pendle has undertaken sPENDLE buybacks as protocol revenue decreased sharply following an 85.8% drawdown from its April 2024 high, while also integrating with Boros to strengthen its presence in the DeFi rates market. Competition has lessened as Element Finance, APWine, and Tempus scaled down or restructured their activity, leaving Pendle as the main active yield tokenization platform. The protocol also recorded $44.6 million in total fees with an average total value locked of about $5.7 billion in 2025.

Intraday momentum diverges from daily bearish signals near key resistance

Momentum signals remain strongly bearish on the daily timeframe, with both MACD and ADX pointing to ongoing selling pressure. RSI, Stoch RSI, and CCI are all below neutral, suggesting a continued lack of upside momentum, though Stoch RSI is reading above 50 and not yet in oversold territory. BBP is positive, indicating buyers have gained some control intraday, while the Awesome Oscillator stands neutral and does not confirm a broader downtrend. The price moved up 7.15% today without a gap at the open and is now trading near the session's high of $1.114, reflecting elevated volatility and persistent buyer strength toward intraday highs. This creates a divergence as short-term intraday momentum contrasts with the prevailing bearish setup suggested by most daily indicators. Immediate resistance is seen at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $1.1580, with the $1.16 zone acting as a key cap, and support emerges around $1.07.

Limited breakout risk as consolidation expected within range

In the next 5 trading days, PENDLE is expected to fluctuate within a $1.07 to $1.15 volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of further upward movement is low, at less than 20%, making a pullback more likely. The baseline scenario is for continued consolidation between resistance at $1.16 and support near $1.07, while a decisive breakout above $1.16 could pave the way for a shift to higher ground if bullish momentum emerges. A break below $1.07, however, would confirm renewed selling and may trigger a move toward lower support levels, in line with the prevailing negative momentum and trend signals.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Pendle's dominant positioning in yield tokenization as a solid long-term advantage, especially as rivals have exited or scaled back. He believes DeFi market fundamentals remain robust, despite protocol revenue having dropped sharply after an exceptional high. Karapetjanc notes that recent integrations and consistent fee generation provide the foundation for future growth. Still, he highlights that the current technical picture suggests limited near-term upside until buyers can reclaim $1.16. "I recommend a constructive watch on Pendle — if macro sentiment in DeFi improves and the $1.16 cap breaks, momentum could shift in favor of bulls."

Previously it was reported that Pendle was entrenched in a broader bearish trend despite brief rebounds fueled by short-term volatility. The current stabilization above short-term averages and reduced competition in the sector add resilience, but traders should monitor for a breakout above $1.16 as a sign of potential trend reversal or a slide below $1.07 to confirm renewed downside momentum.

Source of Data: PENDLE Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.