XRP price prediction: Will a $1.32 decline open new support? XRP down 2.30%

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XRP slides 2.3% today to $1.42

Highlights

Resolution of the SEC lawsuit intensified regulatory clarity for XRP, triggering a 212% surge in exchange purchase volumes.
Expansion of Ripple’s Singapore license enabled regulated cross-border payments in Asia-Pacific, driving a 70% spike in on-chain activity and $1.28 billion ETF inflows.
XRP trades within $1.32–$1.48 amid mixed technical signals, with weak momentum favoring further downside or extended range-bound movement.

Regulatory resolution and institutional flows drive Asia-Pacific demand

On April 22, XRP’s regulatory clarity intensified as the SEC lawsuit was resolved and major exchanges recorded a 212% surge in purchase volumes. Further, the expansion of Ripple’s Major Payment Institution license by the Monetary Authority of Singapore on December 1, 2025, allowed for regulated cross-border payments in the Asia-Pacific region, which was accompanied by a notable 70% increase in on-chain activity in that market. Institutional tokenization of U.S. Treasury debt on the XRP Ledger totaled over $333 million, with ETF inflows documented at $1.28 billion across eight days. Comments from Ripple’s CEO pointed to a shift towards a less confrontational regulatory environment, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Sideways momentum as mixed signals meet resistance at SMA-200

On the technical front, XRP has cleared both its SMA-20 at $1.3778 and SMA-50 at $1.3876, while remaining below the SMA-200 at $1.8624. The Ichimoku Kijun level on the daily timeframe is at $1.3944, now serving as immediate support. Momentum readings are mixed: MACD signals buy interest, but ADX remains neutral on D1 with a low value of 12.05, indicating weak trend strength. RSI is at 56.28 (buy), CCI stands at 101.05 (overbought), Stoch RSI at 60.87 (sell), and BBP at 0.0558 (buy), highlighting intraday divergence and mild overbought conditions.

Range-bound trading likely as macro indicators flag persistent weakness

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to fluctuate within a $1.32 – $1.48 volatility band relative to current levels. There is a low probability, estimated at less than 20%, of an upward move, given that weekly chart signals like MA-50, RSI, ADX, and MACD suggest seller dominance or weakness. The most likely scenario involves continued sideways trading between $1.32 and $1.48. A break above $1.48 would trigger a bullish scenario, while a decline below $1.32 would open the way to new short-term support.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees broad macro and regulatory developments supporting XRP’s long-term case. He believes renewed institutional interest and constructive signals after the SEC settlement are positive for sentiment, even as price remains below key long-term resistance. Short-term indicators show mixed momentum and ongoing seller pressure. In the near term, sideways trading is likely, but optimism is warranted if $1.48 is breached. "I view XRP as fundamentally well-positioned — upcoming regulatory clarity and rising on-chain activity in Asia-Pacific could provide the spark for a new upward trend."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP was demonstrating resilience amid institutional inflows, but faced medium-term bearish technical pressure and expected continued sideways movement within a defined range. The latest market action adds regulatory clarity and renewed institutional participation, suggesting that while seller dominance persists, a decisive move above $1.48 or below $1.32 could serve as the catalyst for XRP’s next directional trend.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.