XRP price prediction: Can $1.38 support hold? XRP remains rangebound

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XRP drops 0.64% to $1.4178 today

Highlights

Spot XRP ETFs saw $1.44 billion in inflows to date, with an incremental $75 million entering in April despite subdued price action.
Large holders have accumulated 11 million XRP per day over the past month, but persistent selling pressure limits upside momentum.
Technicals indicate XRP is range-bound between $1.38 and $1.44, with mixed momentum signals and a low probability of a decisive breakout.

Whale accumulation and ETF inflows temper ongoing selling pressure

Spot XRP ETFs recorded $1.44 billion in total inflows, with an additional $75 million reported for April. Whale wallets were reported to have acquired an average of 11 million XRP per day over the last 30 days, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Momentum signals remain mixed as price hovers near support

On the technical front, XRP is positioned above the SMA-20 ($1.3997) and SMA-50 ($1.3909), but remains well below the SMA-200 at $1.8326. The Ichimoku Kijun line on the daily chart sits at $1.3944, establishing that level as immediate support. Momentum indicators are mixed: the MACD (D1) signals a buy, while ADX (D1) is neutral at 12.7, RSI (D1) is moderately bullish at 54.6, and both Stoch RSI and CCI are neutral. Bull/Bear Power on D1 is positive, suggesting moderate buyer strength intraday, but the Awesome Oscillator does not confirm a clear trend.

Upside potential stays weak as range-bound trade persists

In the next five trading days, XRP is expected to trade within a volatility band of $1.38 to $1.44, with the current price near the middle of this range. The probability of a sustained move higher remains very low, under 20%, so a drift lower or continued range-bound action is more likely. A break above $1.44 would be required to shift momentum upward, while renewed weakness could see support around $1.38 tested.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that XRP remains stuck below key long-term resistance, despite moderate ETF inflows and ongoing whale accumulation. He sees the mixed momentum indicators and low probability of a breakout as signs to maintain a defensive posture. Downside risk is elevated unless XRP can break above $1.44. "Until we see sustained strength above $1.44, my outlook stays defensive and I expect further range-bound price action."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP was entrenched in a consolidation phase, with limited breakout potential and mostly neutral technical signals. This latest analysis reinforces that view, but ongoing ETF inflows and continued whale accumulation suggest that a decisive move above $1.44 remains the key catalyst to monitor for any shift in momentum.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.