XRP price prediction: Can $1.41 support hold? XRP trades sideways

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XRP slides 0.57% today to $1.418

Highlights

XRP Ledger upgrades target institutional use with new compliance features, permissioned exchanges, and improved settlement infrastructure to attract regulated capital inflows.
The SEC lawsuit resolution, leadership changes, and $28.17 million weekly investment product inflow bolster XRP's institutional and commodity tokenization positioning despite ongoing sell pressure.
Technicals indicate sideways trading between $1.38 and $1.46, with mixed momentum and a higher probability of further price weakness absent a breakout above resistance.

Regulatory advances and leadership overhaul amid sustained selling pressure

On May 9, 2026, upgrades to the XRP Ledger were reported, incorporating compliance tools, permissioned decentralized exchanges, and expanded settlement infrastructure aimed at institutional adoption and facilitating regulated capital inflows. The announcement of a new executive team with Brett Mollin as Executive Director marked a step toward consolidating leadership across strategy, engineering, and partnerships. Additionally, the conclusion of the SEC lawsuit, XRP's increased share in the tokenized commodities sector, and a notable $28.17 million weekly inflow to XRP investment products accompanied these developments, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Sideways momentum as resistance holds and trend strength weakens

The SMA-20 is at $1.4077, and the SMA-50 is at $1.3831, with both levels sitting below the current price, while the SMA-200 at $1.7638 remains far above. Immediate resistance is defined by the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.4279. On the indicator side, the daily MACD signal is bullish, but the ADX registers a low reading of 9.2, suggesting a lack of clear trend strength. The RSI stands at 54.3 and the CCI is just under 50, both indicating mild buy momentum, while the Stoch RSI is overbought at 83 and BBP stays positive, giving intraday buyers a slight edge. The Awesome Oscillator shows a neutral signal. Today’s trading range spans $1.4119 – $1.4225, with subdued volatility and largely sideways price actions after the open.

Downside risk dominates as breakout lacks technical confirmation

Over the next five sessions, the expected price band is $1.38 – $1.46, which falls within the typical volatility for XRP. Probability of a sustained price increase is under 20%, as weekly technical indicators point to continued downside risk. Baseline scenario is for XRP to remain rangebound inside the $1.38 to $1.46 channel. A confirmed bullish scenario would require a breakout above the $1.43 – $1.46 resistance zone, while a drop below $1.41 would set up further weakness if broad market pressure persists.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that despite fresh upgrades and institutional inflows, XRP’s price remains under broad selling pressure. He sees the cleared regulatory status as removing a critical risk but remains skeptical about immediate upside. Technicals do not support a bullish move while the asset sits below its long-term trend. "Until we see a decisive break above $1.43, I remain defensive on XRP and expect rangebound action."

Earlier, analysts noted that the resolution of key regulatory challenges and increased institutional activity positioned XRP for greater legitimacy, though they cautioned that technical headwinds could limit immediate upside. With the latest technical signals showing muted trend strength despite structural upgrades and new investment inflows, traders should monitor for a decisive move outside the $1.38–$1.46 range as an early indicator of directional momentum.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.