XRP news: Sits above $2.48 support as oversold signals point to seller exhaustion

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XRP Slides 3.65% to $2.73 Today

Highlights

XRP trades at $2.7333, down 3.65%, remaining below its MA-20 ($2.9746) and MA-50 ($3.0929) but above the MA-200 ($2.4829), reflecting short-term weakness amid longer-term support.
Rising Solana competition, increased treasury holdings, and trading volumes are projected to intensify in late 2025, threatening XRP's market leadership alongside evolving regulatory and institutional adoption dynamics.
Bearish momentum persists as XRP's daily RSI is at 38.19, Stoch RSI at zero, and CCI at –142.95, with price near the day's lower range ($2.7022 – $2.7786); base case expects sideways movement between $2.7651 and $2.8862.

Market leadership at risk as Solana challenge and regulations converge

Competition from Solana is expected to intensify in late 2025, as Solana's rising treasury holdings and trading volumes may challenge XRP's market leadership. Regulatory developments continue to play a key role, with XRP's future trajectory closely watched due to pending licensing considerations and institutional adoption. Emerging crypto payment projects could also shift capital flows within the sector.

Bearish momentum and oversold signals as technical boundaries tighten

Technically, XRP sits below its MA-20 and MA-50 but is supported above the MA-200, with dynamic resistance at $3.07 and support near $2.48. Momentum indicators remain bearish — the daily MACD is signaling a sell, the daily ADX highlights weak trend strength, and the Awesome Oscillator is negative. Oversold conditions are evident, with the daily RSI at 38.19, Stoch RSI at zero, and CCI at –142.95, hinting at seller exhaustion. Bear Power (BBP) is neutral to slightly negative, and the price is near the lower end of today's range ($2.7022 – $2.7786), suggesting moderate volatility and sustained downside pressure.

Rebound chances rise amid bearish momentum and range-bound outlook

Over the next five trading days, XRP is likely to move within a range of $2.7651 – $2.8862, averaging around $2.8257. There is a 75% chance of a rebound, though prevailing bearish momentum tempers immediate upside potential. The base case projects sideways movement within established support and resistance. A breakout above $3.07 may unlock further gains, while a breakdown below $2.76 could trigger additional losses toward the MA-200 near $2.48.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP consolidating with bearish momentum still dominating, though the possibility of a technical rebound is present. He notes key support at $2.76 and resistance near $3.07, and favors a scenario of sideways movement unless these levels are decisively breached. "I remain cautious — unless XRP reclaims $3.07 or breaks below $2.76, strong directional trades are off the table for now."

Previously it was noted that investor demand for XRP ETFs could surge if U.S. regulators deliver approval, with some experts highlighting the asset’s strong institutional recognition. Industry leaders also discussed the likelihood of approval, similar to the reasoning that paved the way for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.