Whale transfers signal liquidity shift — Pepe gains 2.2% in price prediction watch

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Pepe Rises 2.20% Today

Highlights

PEPE trades at $0.000009, below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200 levels, signaling persistent multi-timeframe selling pressure and dynamic resistance near $0.0000108.
Whale accumulation, including a $16 million Kraken transaction and $160 million outflows from exchanges, and a 100%+ surge in volumes to $1.37 billion, propel major liquidity shifts and market interest.
Momentum indicators remain mixed with most showing persistent bearishness despite a 2.2% daily gain, and PEPE's downside probability above 80% with an expected five-day range of $0.00000829–$0.00000899.

Liquidity shifts and whale activity fuel renewed trading interest

Whale accumulation continues to shape market sentiment for PEPE, highlighted by large transfers including a $16 million Kraken transaction and $160 million moved off exchanges, driving major liquidity shifts. Trading volumes have surged more than 100% to $1.37 billion, with increased activity from both institutional and retail participants boosting the coin’s standing and drawing strong market interest. Secondary developments, such as the Layer 2 LILPEPE presale and PEPE's rise in trading popularity, add further momentum.

Mixed momentum as volatility remains low and bearish bias persists

Momentum indicators on the daily timeframe are mixed. MACD is neutral while ADX shows weak bullish strength. RSI, CCI, and Stoch RSI all indicate oversold or selling conditions, suggesting downside exhaustion may be building. BBP is neutral, showing neither buyers nor sellers dominate intraday, and the Awesome Oscillator reinforces the prevailing downtrend. Today’s price action shows a small gap higher at the open with a daily gain of 2.2%. Price is now near the lower end of today’s range, with volatility remaining low and some pressure emerging after the open. The divergence between momentum and oscillators highlights persistent bears, even as intraday action attempts to stabilize.

Bearish continuation likely as upside scenario faces resistance

Looking ahead, the expected price range for the next five trading days is between $0.00000829 and $0.00000899. The probability of a move higher is very low (less than 20%), making a downside move much more likely. The baseline scenario expects PEPE to consolidate sideways within this corridor. A bullish scenario would require a sustained move above $0.0000104 — $0.0000108 to break resistance, but odds for this are low. Bearish continuation becomes likely if price falls below the short-term support near $0.000009, targeting new local lows in the coming week.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees that despite ongoing selling pressure and technical headwinds, a constructive undertone is emerging for Pepe (PEPE) as large whale accumulations and robust trading volumes provide notable support. He believes that, while current price action remains below key moving averages and near-term downside is likely, strong institutional and retail interest—along with positive sentiment from high-profile transactions and ecosystem developments—may cushion further declines and set the stage for recovery if resistance is reclaimed. "If the $0.0000104 — $0.0000108 resistance zone is broken on meaningful volume, we could see a swift shift in momentum, but for now, sideways consolidation and accumulation by major players keep me optimistic about PEPE’s longer-term potential," says Karapetjanc.

Previously it was noted that cautious buyer interest persists as broader sentiment hinges on anticipated network scalability improvements. The article highlighted the emergence of oversold signals amid sustained seller dominance and minimal rebound odds for the asset.

Source of Data: PEPE Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.