VeChain: Seller exhaustion and volatility led to sharp gains in price prediction

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VeChain Jumps 7.16% Today

Highlights

VeChain (VET) trades at $0.0229, below MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, signaling persistent downward pressure across all technical timeframes.
Despite recent momentum from the Hayabusa upgrade and partnerships with Walmart and BMW, VET faces broad crypto volatility and bearish short-term sentiment.
Over the next five trading days, VET is projected to consolidate between $0.02017 and $0.02193, with less than a 20% probability of price increase.

Institutional flows and corporate partnerships drive sentiment shift

VeChain saw recent technical momentum in October 2025, driven by the rollout of its Hayabusa upgrade, aggressive VTHO token burns, and real-world partnerships with major companies such as Walmart and BMW, underscoring its position in enterprise blockchain adoption. In addition, ongoing institutional flows into Ethereum ETFs and broad crypto market volatility — accentuated by the US government shutdown — have contributed to overall sentiment in the digital asset space. Longer-term integration of VET into decentralized applications and financial systems also supports underlying demand.

Bearish momentum and oversold signals create technical uncertainty

Momentum signals on the daily chart are mixed. The MACD remains bearish, but the ADX at 27.7 shows solid trending strength. Oversold readings from RSI (26.27), Stochastic RSI (16.5), and CCI (–87.36) suggest short-term exhaustion among sellers, while BBP indicates sellers still dominate. Despite a 7.16% daily gain to $0.0229, the price opened slightly above the previous close without a significant gap. The current price is near today's high, confirming high volatility and strong intraday momentum toward the upper end of the range. Some oscillators indicate relief or counter rallies, but the overall momentum signals remain in conflict.

Low upside probability as price likely to consolidate or decline

Looking ahead to the next five trading days, VET is expected to fluctuate between $0.02017 and $0.02193. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), with a price decrease being far more likely. Baseline scenario sees prices consolidating sideways in the projected corridor. A bullish scenario would require a break above $0.02377, while a bearish scenario unfolds if the price falls below $0.02153, opening the door to deeper declines.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees VeChain struggling beneath all major moving averages, with persistent technical resistance capping upward potential and recent relief rallies failing to shift the broader bearish tone. While institutional interest in crypto and VeChain’s real-world partnerships offer some longer-term support, near-term signals remain conflicted and momentum indicators point to potential further downside. He cautions that as long as VeChain trades below $0.02377 and the probability of a quick rebound stays below 20%, sellers remain in control. “Unless we see a decisive break above $0.02377, I remain defensive and do not trust any upside — for now, this is just a sideways consolidation with downside risks prevailing.”

Previously it was noted that VeChain maintained a prolonged sideways trend, with market activity largely driven by broader sentiment and technical trading in the absence of fresh catalysts. The last report indicated that no major ecosystem or partnership updates had occurred while the token remained in a tight consolidation phase.

Source of Data: VET Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.