Aptos price prediction — can blockchain deals trigger a rebound or is $3.20 next?

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Aptos drops 7.56% to $3.39 today

Highlights

Aptos (APT) fell 7.56% to $3.388, trading sharply below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, confirming persistent downside momentum.
Reliance Jio, with Aptos Foundation and Aptos Labs, will launch a blockchain-based digital rewards system for 500 million users on Aptos’ Layer 1 infrastructure.
Technical indicators show APT is deeply oversold with momentum strongly bearish; price is likely to consolidate between $3.20 and $3.55 near-term.

Adoption prospects rise as major firms tap Aptos infrastructure

Reliance Jio is set to launch a blockchain-based digital rewards system for its 500 million customers through a partnership with Aptos Foundation and Aptos Labs, expanding beyond its current 9.4 million-user beta and utilizing Aptos’ scalable Layer 1 infrastructure. The project is aimed at practical real-world application, which could boost adoption of APT. Separately, NBCUniversal and Aptos Labs have launched the Backlot Club, a blockchain-powered fan engagement platform built on the Aptos chain.

Oversold signals deepen as downside momentum persists below support

Technically, APT remains entrenched in a bearish trend, trading below key moving averages. Immediate dynamic support is found at the Ichimoku Kijun level near $3.20, with nearest resistance at the MA-50 at $4.45. Momentum indicators signal oversold conditions — RSI is at 30.61, Stoch RSI is deeply oversold, CCI is low, and the Awesome Oscillator and negative bear power (BBP at -0.7872) both highlight prevailing downside bias. The MACD is neutral, but the ADX shows that current downward strength remains elevated and sellers maintain control.

Breakdown risks grow as APT faces tight consolidation range

APT is likely to consolidate between $3.20 and $3.55 in the short term, with a very low probability (less than 20%) of a recovery above recent levels. If price sustains above $4.45, a bullish reversal scenario may play out. However, a break below $3.20 could trigger accelerated declines as negative technical signals persist.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Aptos (APT) locked in a strong bearish trend, with technical indicators showing persistent selling pressure and little sign of reversal. Despite notable news around real-world adoption through partnerships with Reliance Jio and NBCUniversal, immediate sentiment and momentum remain overwhelmingly negative. He remains focused on downside risks, with only a sustained break above $4.45 likely to change the tactical outlook. "Base case remains extended consolidation or further decline — unless $4.45 is reclaimed, I consider rallies to be vulnerable to renewed selling."

Previously it was noted that Aptos announced a partnership to integrate the USD1 stablecoin, supporting broader DeFi development. Last time we reported that market momentum increased as traders anticipated the upcoming launches of the Decibel DEX and the decentralized storage system Shelby.

Source of Data: APT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.