Bitcoin price prediction: Ongoing bearish signals after Harvard triples its ETF exposure

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Bitcoin slides 0.49% today on pressure

Highlights

Harvard University tripled its holdings in spot Bitcoin ETFs during Q3, acquiring 6.8 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust worth $442.8 million, SEC filings reveal.
Emory University increased exposure to Bitcoin trusts, including a $52 million stake in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust and a smaller investment in iShares Bitcoin Trust.
American Bitcoin Corp. reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings, but did not disclose detailed information about its Bitcoin-related operations.

Institutional Bitcoin inflows surge as endowments increase ETF holdings

Harvard University tripled its exposure to spot Bitcoin ETFs in the third quarter, investing in 6.8 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust valued at around $442.8 million, according to SEC filings. Emory University also raised its holdings in Bitcoin trusts, including a $52 million stake in the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust and a smaller position in iShares Bitcoin Trust. American Bitcoin Corp. reported strong growth in its third-quarter 2025 earnings, though details specific to Bitcoin activities were not disclosed.

Sell momentum intensifies as daily indicators approach oversold levels

Momentum indicators on the daily chart remain negative, with both MACD and ADX confirming a prevailing bearish bias, while daily RSI and CCI readings signal the market is moving toward oversold territory. Stoch RSI and BBP further reinforce an oversold, seller-dominated environment, though a divergence appears as the Awesome Oscillator aligns with the bearish trend. BTC opened at $95,629.70 after a minor gap down from the previous close of $96,342.18, and now hovers towards the daily mid-range after slipping 0.49%. Intraday volatility has been moderate, and price action suggests continued pressure after the open in line with weak momentum readings.

Downside risks rise as low breakout probability narrows outlook

For the next five trading days, the expected price range is $91,000 to $99,500, which reflects a realistic adjustment to weekly volatility given the current price. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), making further downward movement more likely. In the baseline scenario, BTC holds within a sideways corridor between $91,000 and $99,500. A bullish scenario would require a breakout above $99,500 toward the resistance at $105,206, while a bearish scenario could see the price test support near $91,000 or lower if momentum accelerates.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees constructive signals in the broader Bitcoin landscape despite immediate price weakness. He notes that institutional investors like Harvard and Emory are steadily increasing their Bitcoin ETF holdings, which confirms strong long-term interest. Technically, bearish momentum dominates for now, but macro and fundamental flows are supportive on the horizon. "Growing institutional adoption sets a healthy foundation, so I remain optimistic that Bitcoin can rebound as sentiment improves and selling pressure eases."

Previously it was noted that persistent bearish sentiment and mounting liquidations have pressured Bitcoin, with large holders and ETFs accelerating outflows. Analysts remain divided about the asset’s outlook, citing both the potential formation of a bottom and growing concerns that Bitcoin is already near its fundamental floor.

Source of Data: BTC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.