Bittensor price prediction: More losses ahead? TAO slides as negative signals align

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Bittensor slides 13.36% to $285.90 today

Highlights

Safello launched the world's first Safello Bittensor Staked TAO ETP (ticker: STAO) on the SIX Swiss Exchange, providing regulated exposure to staked TAO.
The ETP is backed by staked TAO and automatically delivers both price movement and staking rewards, tracked by the Kaiko Safello Staked Bittensor Index.
Announcement of the STAO ETP contributed to a modest increase in market activity for both Bittensor and its underlying TAO asset.

ETP launch drives modest demand as staked TAO gains regulated access

Nordic cryptocurrency exchange Safello launched the Safello Bittensor Staked TAO ETP, trading under the ticker STAO on the SIX Swiss Exchange. This marks the world’s first exchange-traded product backed by staked TAO, allowing regulated exposure to Bittensor and automatic staking rewards. The ETP reflects both TAO’s price movement and staking rewards through the Kaiko Safello Staked Bittensor Index, contributing to a modest rise in market activity.

Bearish momentum persists as oscillators and volatility align lower

Momentum signals are bearish, as both the MACD and ADX on D1 confirm weak directional strength and continued negative momentum. Oscillators including RSI and CCI indicate oversold conditions, while the Stoch RSI and BBP signal persistent seller dominance intraday, with BBP deeply negative and classified as "Oversold." The daily session opened with a gap down and TAO is currently near today’s low, having dropped 13.36% so far with high volatility and strong downside momentum after the open. There are no meaningful divergences: all momentum and oscillators are aligned with the ongoing downward intraday trend, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.

Sideways range projected as seller pressure limits rebound potential

For the next 5 trading days, the adjusted weekly price corridor is expected between $277 and $324, keeping movement within a typical range around the current price. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), making further declines more likely. The baseline scenario is for TAO to move sideways within this corridor. A bullish scenario would require the price to break above the $310 area and test resistance around $324. Conversely, a bearish scenario may play out if the price falls below $277, exposing the asset to additional downside given the strong seller pressure and lack of nearby technical support.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees persistent selling pressure dominating Bittensor (TAO) across all key timeframes. Despite the launch of the world’s first staked TAO ETP, technical signals remain overwhelmingly negative, with momentum and oscillators aligned to further downside. He maintains a cautious stance given the lack of nearby support and limited probability for upside in the coming days. "With sellers firmly in control and no bullish confirmation, I remain defensive and expect lower-to-sideways movement unless TAO reclaims at least the $310 level."

Last time we reported that TAO was expected to consolidate in the $402.80 to $408.30 range with potential for volatility. Previously, it was noted that the short-term outlook for TAO was described as balanced and momentum indicators remained neutral.

Source of Data: TAO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.