XRP price prediction: More downside ahead? XRP slips below key support levels

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XRP slides 2.20% today to $1.93

Highlights

Bitwise, Grayscale, and 21Shares launched spot XRP ETFs in the US after SEC approval, significantly expanding institutional access to XRP.
SEC regulatory clarity and the conclusion of Ripple litigation have spurred increased institutional participation, leaving several additional spot ETF filings pending.
Despite large-holder selloffs and broader crypto market weakness, the XRP Ledger ecosystem is growing with more tokenization, new native staking, and rising payment adoption.

ETF launches bolster institutional access as large holder selloffs curb sentiment

The recent launch of multiple spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, including offerings from Bitwise, Grayscale, and 21Shares following SEC approvals, has marked a milestone for institutional access to the asset. Regulatory clarity from new SEC rules and the end of litigation with Ripple has supported growth in institutional participation and left several spot ETF applications pending. Meanwhile, selloffs by large holders and a downturn in the broader crypto market have impacted sentiment, though the XRP Ledger ecosystem continues to expand with increased tokenization, native staking development, and growing adoption in payments.

Bearish dominance persists as technical signals and momentum weaken

The technical outlook remains bearish as XRP trades below all key moving averages and faces dynamic resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $2.2596, with no significant support from moving averages nearby. Momentum indicators reinforce this weakness — MACD and ADX highlight an established downtrend with strong directional strength, while bearish dominance persists according to Bull/Bear Power. Oscillators signal oversold conditions across the board: RSI sits at 31.48, Stoch RSI is at its lower bound, and CCI is deeply negative, all suggesting persistent selling pressure.

Limited rebound odds as downside bias prevails without key support

Short term, XRP is expected to trade between $1.914 and $2.072 over the next five sessions, containing moves within roughly ±7% of current levels. Upside potential is limited and the likelihood of a sustained rebound is low (less than 20%), with further declines more probable if support at $1.914 fails. A recovery scenario would require the price to reclaim the $2.26 resistance for any bullish signals to emerge.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, believes the recent wave of spot XRP ETF approvals and regulatory clarity are strong positives for long-term sentiment. However, he sees near-term pressure from broad market weakness and persistent technical headwinds. Institutional flows and ecosystem growth are important, but the lack of support from moving averages and oversold signals suggest more consolidation ahead. The analyst expects constructive momentum to return if XRP can reclaim $2.26. "If XRP holds above its recent lows and sentiment improves, the groundwork for a bullish reversal is firmly set."

Previously it was noted that market sentiment deteriorated sharply, reflected in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which plunged to 11 (Extreme Fear) and signaled heightened investor anxiety. The previous article also highlighted Bitwise's debut of its spot XRP ETF and RippleX exploring early concepts of native XRP staking.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.