Nio is falling today: what traders are watching (January 5)

Traders Union
All News
Financial News
Nio Slides 5.44% Today to $4.87

Highlights

Nio delivered a record 48,135 vehicles in December 2025 and 124,807 vehicles in the fourth quarter, indicating accelerating sales momentum.
The company achieved a full-year 2025 total of 326,028 vehicles delivered across its portfolio, reflecting strong operational performance.
Cumulative vehicle deliveries for NIO, ONVO, and FIREFLY reached 997,592 by early January 2026, putting Nio on the verge of its 1-millionth delivery milestone.

Record deliveries fuel sentiment despite mixed market opinions

Nio reported record vehicle deliveries at the end of December 2025, with 48,135 units delivered in that month and 124,807 vehicles in the fourth quarter, achieving a full-year total of 326,028 vehicles. The cumulative figure across the NIO, ONVO, and FIREFLY brands reached 997,592 as of early January 2026, bringing the company close to the milestone of its 1-millionth vehicle delivered. These strong operational figures have contributed to the latest sentiment shifts around the company despite divided market opinions.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, views Nio’s price action as technically weak and challenged by sustained bearish sentiment. He highlights the stock’s failure to reclaim any major moving average, noting that momentum and oscillators reinforce prevailing downside risk. Kharitonov points to robust delivery numbers but remains critical about the market’s muted reaction, suggesting operational success alone is not easing pressure. He observes that bearish momentum is unlikely to reverse soon with support levels repeatedly tested. "Despite strong vehicle delivery statistics, I see no evidence that buyers are regaining control — traders should be alert to further downside or stagnation."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, emphasizes Nio’s robust operational momentum and approaching landmark of the 1-millionth vehicle delivered. He believes growing output and brand diversification signal a strengthening business case, even as price consolidates below technical resistances. Karapetjanc sees the pullback as a temporary pause before further expansion, supported by strong delivery performance and innovation in the product lineup. "I expect Nio’s operational pace to translate into revived investor appetite — bullish structure remains intact for forward thinkers."

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, thinks short-term sentiment is bearish with momentum and technical signals negative. He notes that traders may find short-lived opportunities if price rebounds from oversold readings or support. Turakhiya highlights that strong delivery news contrasts with cautious market behavior, suggesting traders watch for breakouts or breakdowns near range edges. "Volatility within $4.97 to $5.31 could lead to quick setups, but patience is essential until clearer signals develop."

Firm downside signals as oscillators confirm weak momentum

Momentum signals remain negative, with the daily MACD showing strong sell and the ADX reading confirming prevailing downside strength. RSI is weak at 45.82 and heading lower, while Stoch RSI and CCI suggest some oversold pressure but not an outright reversal. Bull/Bear Power indicates sellers remain dominant intraday. The nearest dynamic resistance sits near $5.26 (Ichimoku Kijun), while $5.06 – $5.07 (MA-20/MA-200) provide immediate support if a rebound is attempted. Momentum and oscillators broadly signal a bearish tone, with only minor divergence from neutral or oversold readings.

Last time, analysts noted that the stock was trading just above its short- and long-term moving averages, but remained under sustained medium- and long-term bearish pressure as it faced dynamic resistance at the Kijun level. Momentum indicators signaled a strong sell bias with pronounced intraday selling pressure, while the overall session is negative amid heightened volatility and no sign yet of a reversal.

Source of Data: NIO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.