Palantir is falling today: what traders are watching

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Palantir slides 5.63% today on losses

Highlights

Palantir’s 2025 revenue surged 62% year-over-year to $1.34 billion, exceeding $1 billion in quarterly revenue for two consecutive quarters.
Significant multi-billion dollar contracts, including a £1.5 billion U.K. defense deal and a $10 billion U.S. Army contract, reinforce Palantir’s defense AI leadership.
PLTR trades at $148.58, below MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, with negative momentum and projected downside range of $134.98 to $145.80 next week.

Revenue surge and contracts strengthen growth narrative before earnings

Palantir is preparing to release its Q4 2025 earnings on February 2, 2026, with the company reporting a 62% year-over-year surge in revenue to $1.34 billion for 2025 and strong operational momentum. Recent milestones include surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue in back-to-back quarters, U.S. commercial revenue climbing 121% year-over-year, and the announcement of multi-billion dollar contracts, such as a £1.5 billion defense deal in the U.K. and a $10 billion U.S. Army contract. Palantir remains debt-free with over $4 billion in cash, and its inclusion in the S&P 500 further underscores its growth in enterprise and defense AI software.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that PLTR's technical outlook remains concerning. The stock is trading below all key moving averages and shows strong negative momentum. Oversold indicators often precede rebounds, but no tangible bullish signals are present. Operational strengths and recent contracts do not offset current selling pressure. "Persistent weakness and lack of positive divergence suggest further downside is more probable in the near term."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, highlights Palantir's impressive fundamental growth and positive news flow. He sees strong revenue gains, solid cash reserves, and S&P 500 inclusion as major long-term catalysts. The analyst remains constructive despite short-term volatility, pointing to expanding commercial and defense contracts. "With robust fundamentals and continued demand for enterprise AI, I expect further growth and sustained investment interest in PLTR."

Jainam Mehta, market strategist, notes that PLTR trades in a high-volatility environment with intraday downside dominating. He sees oversold signals setting up potential for a tactical rebound but emphasizes that bearish momentum is currently in control. The upcoming earnings event could provide a catalyst for direction change. "If buyers step in near weekly lows, a contrarian bounce toward $158 resistance zone could quickly materialize."

Oversold technical signals intensify as sellers drive momentum

Momentum indicators are firmly negative. The daily MACD signals a bearish trend and the ADX at 15.11 suggests a weak trend. Oscillators (RSI at 31.69, Stoch RSI at oversold, and CCI at –173.56) indicate strongly oversold conditions, which can sometimes precede a technical rebound, though the BBP’s pronounced oversold reading reflects clear dominance by sellers. The Awesome Oscillator supports the bearish direction. The stock has fallen $8.86 or 5.63% today, opening with a slight gap down from $157.44 to $156.21. The current price sits just above today’s low ($149.17) and well below the high, highlighting strong intraday volatility and sustained pressure after the open. Intraday and daily momentum both reinforce the prevailing downside, with no significant bullish divergences among the indicators.

Previously it was reported that Palantir Technologies is trading below its key short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, with strong bearish momentum confirmed by indicators such as the MACD, RSI, and CCI showing deep oversold conditions. The stock faces immediate resistance near $158.00 and the Ichimoku Kijun, with downside risk prevailing and support observed around $146.00 to $158.00, suggesting a likely period of consolidation unless major levels are breached.

Source of Data: PLTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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