Upbeat data center outlook and AI demand fuel optimism

Traders Union
All News
Financial News
AMD drops 3.59% to $237.33 today

Highlights

AMD reports Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 3, 2026, with projected data center and AI segment revenues growing at double-digit rates year-over-year.
Q4 revenue guidance stands between $9.6 and $9.67 billion, bolstered by recent strategic partnerships with Oracle and IBM ahead of the earnings release.
AMD trades at $237.33, above key moving averages (MA-20: $232.58, MA-50: $221.57), with near-term support at $234.10 and resistance at $247.23, reflecting a bullish but volatile setup.

Earnings optimism and AI growth forecasts fuel positive sentiment

AMD is set to report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings after the market close on February 3, 2026, with expectations of robust performance in its data center and AI segments. The company has projected double-digit year-over-year revenue growth for these divisions and anticipates Q4 revenue to reach between $9.6 and $9.67 billion. Recent partnerships with cloud providers like Oracle and IBM have also contributed to positive sentiment ahead of the earnings release.

Bullish momentum and overbought signals clash amid intraday volatility

The nearest dynamic support is the Daily Ichimoku Kijun at $233.35. If upward momentum resumes, the MA-50 near $221.57 is now the key support, while $250 acts as resistance. Momentum indicators show divergence. The MACD on the daily chart remains in buy mode, but the ADX is neutral, signaling a lack of directional conviction. The RSI is above 58, suggesting buyers still have an edge, yet the Stochastic RSI sits at neutral and the CCI provides a similar signal. The Bull/Bear Power indicator is classified as overbought on the daily timeframe, hinting at recent buyer dominance, but intraday signals have shifted to oversold, especially on shorter timeframes. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral and does not add confirmation. AMD opened the session with an upward gap (previous close $246.17, today's open $251.62) but has since dropped 3.59% intraday, now trading near the low end of today’s range ($238.89 – $251.67), with high volatility and clear pressure after the open. The interplay between ongoing bullish momentum and intraday selling pressure highlights short-term uncertainty.

Sideways bias expected as bullish weekly signals reduce downside risk

For the next five trading days, AMD is expected to fluctuate between $234.10 and $247.23, containing the current price within a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of an increase remains very high (more than 80%) as all relevant weekly signals (MA-50, RSI, ADX, and MACD) are bullish, making a decline much less likely. The baseline scenario sees AMD trading sideways within this corridor. In a bullish case, a close above $247.23 could trigger renewed upside, while a break below $234.10 would point to a deeper pullback towards the Ichimoku Kijun or the MA-50.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees AMD maintaining strong momentum above key moving averages. He points out that bullish sentiment is boosted by robust guidance in key business segments and major cloud partnerships. Short-term consolidation is possible due to intraday selling, but weekly signals remain positive. Karapetjanc believes dips toward support are likely to attract buyers in the run-up to earnings. "The overall backdrop remains constructive, and I expect AMD to test higher levels soon if market confidence holds."

Previously it was reported that AMD is trading well above key moving averages, reflecting a bullish structure across short, medium, and long-term trends, with dynamic support near the Ichimoku Kijun and resistance expected around the next round number. Momentum indicators such as MACD continue to favor the uptrend, though oscillators highlight potential overbought conditions and elevated volatility as the stock approaches resistance.

Source of Data: AMD Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.