-0.90% for US Dollar vs Yen — price action drifts lower with persistent bearish momentum
US Dollar vs Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) is trading at ¥152.92, marking a decline of ¥1.40 or 0.90% from the previous session. The pair is notably below the MA-20 at ¥155.48 and the MA-50 at ¥156.55, while remaining just above the MA-200 at ¥152.52, highlighting seller dominance in both the short and medium term.
Highlights
- USD/JPY trades at ¥152.92, below the MA-20 and MA-50 but just above the MA-200 at ¥152.52, reflecting strong short- to medium-term seller dominance.
- Momentum indicators including MACD, ADX, RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI confirm pronounced short-term bearishness and oversold conditions, with sellers dominating intraday momentum.
- If USD/JPY breaks below the MA-200 at ¥152.52, further weakness is likely; resistance stands at the Ichimoku Kijun at ¥155.64, with the expected range at ¥152.40–¥154.60 in the next five days.
Bearish momentum confirmed as dynamic support and resistance define range
Technical analysis reflects ongoing bearish momentum: USD/JPY sits under short and medium-term moving averages with the MA-200 at ¥152.52 providing dynamic support. Nearest resistance aligns with the Ichimoku Kijun at ¥155.64. Momentum indicators reinforce the downtrend, with MACD on a strong sell and ADX signaling a weak trend. RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI are all in oversold territory, implying downside exhaustion, while Bull/Bear Power and the Awesome Oscillator confirm intraday seller strength. The session opened with a gap down from ¥154.32 to ¥153.32 and continued to drift lower with modest volatility, confirming persistent bearish momentum by both price action and technical signals.
Downside bias persists as consolidation holds under key resistance
Looking toward the short term, USD/JPY is expected to trade within a typical volatility band between ¥152.40 and ¥154.60 over the next five sessions. The bias favors a further price decrease, with less than a 20% probability of a sustained rise. Baseline expectations are for sideways consolidation between ¥152.40 and ¥154.60. Upside potential would require a decisive break above the Ichimoku Kijun at ¥155.64, while a move below MA-200 at ¥152.52 could trigger further weakness toward the lower end of this range.
Previously it was reported that USD/JPY has slipped below key short- and medium-term moving averages amid profit-taking and increased policy uncertainty, with mixed momentum indicators highlighting near-term bearishness but preserving long-term support above the MA-200. The pair is expected to consolidate within a tight range, with downside risk toward ¥154.00 and upside potential capped at resistance near ¥156.60, as technical signals favor possible upward movement over the coming days.
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