Tilray stock price forecast: Bearish outlook continues as TLRY struggles below resistance

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Tilray slides 5.73% to $7.42 today

Highlights

Tilray acquired select BrewDog assets—including global brand, UK brewing, and 11 brewpubs—for £33 million, aiming to expand its beverage footprint.
The BrewDog operations are projected to contribute approximately $200 million in annual net revenue and $6–8 million in adjusted EBITDA by fiscal 2027.
Tilray shares fell 5.73% to $7.42, now trading below key MAs (20/50/200) and facing resistance at $8.14, with near-term support at $7.04.

BrewDog asset deal aims for growth amid ongoing selling pressure

Tilray completed the acquisition of select assets from BrewDog with a total consideration of £33 million. The transaction covers BrewDog’s global brand and intellectual property, UK brewing operations, and 11 brewpubs in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Tilray projects the acquired operations to generate about $200 million in annual net revenue and $6–8 million in adjusted EBITDA by fiscal 2027, and 733 BrewDog employees in the UK will transfer to Tilray Brands UK Ltd. Negotiations are also ongoing to acquire additional BrewDog assets in the US and Australia, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum holds as mixed signals flag intraday volatility

Momentum is negative according to the daily MACD (strong sell) and RSI (sell, at 47.17), with the daily ADX signaling a lack of clear direction. Both the Stochastic RSI (overbought) and CCI (overbought) reveal potential for a pullback, while Bull/Bear Power remains moderately positive, hinting at short-term buyer interest despite the broader selling trend. The daily price fell 5.73% to $7.42, opening lower and moving toward the bottom of today's range ($7.41 – $7.53), indicating a gap and substantial intraday volatility with clear pressure after the open.

Consolidation likely as bearish risk overshadows bullish breakout

Looking ahead, the expected price range for the next week is adjusted to $7.04 – $7.80 to fit the current price band and reflect typical volatility. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), while a decrease is more likely, with W1 and D1 trend indicators predominantly bearish. The baseline scenario projects consolidation near current levels. A bullish scenario requires a decisive move above $8.14, while a bearish breakdown could see the stock testing support near $7.04 or lower.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, believes that Tilray’s acquisition of BrewDog assets is a strategic step with strong long-term fundamentals, though price action remains weak for now. He sees current levels as an accumulation area for optimistic investors, despite momentum indicators signaling downside. The expert notes that positive news has yet to translate into bullish sentiment or sustained upward movement. Karapetjanc remains constructive but urges patience. "If buyers step in above $8.14, we could see the start of a new upward phase — until then, I am watching for signs of stabilization."

Previously it was reported that Tilray Brands Inc. is displaying short-term bullish momentum as its price holds above the 20-day moving average, though persistent resistance from the 50- and 200-day moving averages underscores ongoing medium- and long-term selling pressure. Momentum signals remain mixed, with the MACD indicating bearish sentiment while oscillators such as RSI and Stochastic RSI point to potential overbought conditions near the current resistance cluster, suggesting limited upside in the near term.

Source of Data: TLRY Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.