Robinhood stock price forecast: Bearish signals persist as HOOD holds under resistance

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Robinhood slides 3.08% to $74.97 today

Highlights

Robinhood's revenue rose 25% over the past six months, but crypto-related weakness and margin compression tempered results.
Cathie Wood's ARK fund holds a $543.6 million Robinhood stake, while Robinhood invested $34 million in Stripe and ElevenLabs to diversify revenue streams.
Technical indicators remain bearish with persistent selling pressure, and HOOD is likely to consolidate between $72.00 and $78.00 over the next week.

Strategic investments and fund backing despite crypto headwinds and margin shrinkage

In the six months preceding March 2026, Robinhood increased revenue by 25%, but crypto-driven revenue weakness and shrinking margins were reported. The ARK fund, managed by Cathie Wood, maintains a $543.6 million position in Robinhood, representing 3.6% of its portfolio. Robinhood also invested $34 million in Stripe and ElevenLabs to diversify its business, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum and oversold signals as resistance firms at $78.91

Technically, the Ichimoku Kijun stands at $78.91, acting as the nearest level of resistance above the current price. Momentum is bearish, with the MACD issuing a strong sell signal and the ADX indicating a persistent downside trend. RSI at 44.95 sits in neutral-to-lower territory, while Stoch RSI flashes a buy, yet BBP highlights intraday seller dominance with an oversold reading. The CCI is neutral, the Awesome Oscillator is neutral, and the session opened with a mild gap down, with the price trading near the daily low in a volatile $75.07 to $77.15 range. Divergence is evident as Stoch RSI hints at a possible bounce, but other momentum signals confirm prevailing bearishness.

Sideways consolidation likely as breakout and downside risks diverge

Over the next five trading days, the price is likely to fluctuate within a typical volatility band from $72.00 to $78.00. The probability of a rally above the current range is very low (below 20%), with a sideways consolidation between $72.00 and $78.00 as the base case. Upside scenarios would first require a breakout above $78.91 to challenge higher resistance, while a close below $72.00 could open the path to further declines toward recent support.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Robinhood as weighed down by consistent selling pressure, with price action lingering below key moving averages. He notes revenue growth, but also highlights ongoing concerns about crypto-driven weakness and shrinking margins. Technicals reinforce a bearish outlook, despite some indicators hinting at a possible bounce. "Until HOOD reclaims $78.91, rallies look unsustainable and the risk of further downside prevails."

Earlier, analysts noted that Robinhood was experiencing persistent bearish momentum and faced a cautious outlook tied to ongoing selling pressure. The latest data reinforces this stance, with downside volatility prevailing and traders advised to monitor a potential breakdown below $72.00 as the next critical risk to watch.

Source of Data: HOOD Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.