MSTR stock price forecast: $145 support in focus as MSTR slides 4.97%

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Strategy slides 4.97% after asset sales

Highlights

Strategy executed its first Bitcoin net sale since 2022, liquidating 32 BTC for $2.5 million to fund preferred stock dividends.
The company increased liquidity by raising $128.3 million through an at-the-market equity offering, resulting in shareholder dilution and reduced Bitcoin holdings to nearly 843,700 BTC.
MSTR trades below key moving averages with short- and long-term indicators confirming a bearish trend; expected range is $144.00–$162.00, with higher probability of further decline or consolidation.

Share dilution and first bitcoin sale as liquidity and dividend needs grow

Strategy completed its first net sale of Bitcoin since 2022, selling 32 Bitcoin between May 26 and May 31, 2026, for proceeds of about $2.5 million in order to fund upcoming preferred stock dividends. This period also saw the company raise approximately $128.3 million by selling over 800,000 shares through its at-the-market equity program, further increasing liquidity but diluting existing shareholders. As a result, Strategy's total Bitcoin holdings fell to nearly 843,700 BTC, while the cash dividend rate for STRC preferred shares remains at 11.5% with the next ex-dividend date set for June 15, 2026.

Oversold momentum deepens as technical resistance exceeds current price

MSTR is trading just below its 50-day simple moving average ($155.78), with additional resistance marked by the Ichimoku Kijun level at $170.65 and the 20-day and 200-day simple moving averages well above the current price at $173.58 and $207.70, respectively. The nearest support is defined by the lower end of the recent intraday range at $144.95. Momentum indicators show subdued activity: ADX signals a lack of trend, and MACD remains neutral on the daily timeframe. Oscillators highlight oversold conditions, with RSI at 45.80, Stochastic RSI at 19.92 (oversold zone), and CCI at -99.78, while Bull/Bear Power sits at -2.27, underscoring significant seller dominance. The Awesome Oscillator continues to align with selling pressure, and today’s price action includes a gap down open, with the stock recovering somewhat toward the session's end amidst high volatility.

Downside risk heightened as price eyes support in tight range

Over the next five trading days, MSTR is expected to fluctuate within a $144.00–$162.00 volatility band relative to current levels. The likelihood of a sustained upward breakout above resistance at $170.65 remains very low, under 20%. The baseline scenario anticipates price consolidation, with a pronounced risk of further decline if selling momentum persists, particularly if the stock breaks below the $145.00 weekly support.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Strategy’s ongoing asset sales and shareholder dilution as a cautious reaction to mounting dividend pressures. He believes the technical setup remains weak, with persistent selling momentum and resistance capping any rebound attempts. The baseline scenario for MSTR is further consolidation or downside, unless buyers decisively reclaim key resistance. "Until the price reclaims at least $170.65, I see no case for a sustained move higher and remain on the defensive."

Previously it was reported that Strategy executed its first publicly disclosed Bitcoin sale signaling a shift in the company's treasury approach amid ongoing preferred stock obligations. With the recent combination of equity dilution and continued selling pressure on the stock, traders should monitor for a potential retest of the $145.00 support, as further weakness could drive accelerated downside in the short term.

Source of Data: MSTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.