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Fed policy shifts embedded inflation, Greg Ip says
The impact of the oil embargo significantly worsened inflation, according to Greg Ip.
He argues that inflation later became entrenched because the Federal Reserve responded with insufficient tightening and excessive easing, influenced by political pressure and a misreading of economic potential and the natural rate of unemployment.
The interplay between monetary policy and energy market disruptions remains central to understanding inflation’s persistence. As noted in earlier analyses, the U.S. economy’s reduced vulnerability to oil shocks—driven by a shift toward becoming a net petroleum exporter—has lessened the likelihood of a stagflation scenario, as discussed in the context of the most recent U.S. oil shock impact. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve’s reliance on the PCE inflation gauge over the CPI measure, a topic examined in depth in prior considerations of Fed inflation strategy, continues to shape the institution’s policy responses amid evolving economic pressures.
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