Guy LeBas: Core PCE model matches actual print at 0.37 percent

Guy LeBas: Core PCE model matches actual print at 0.37 percent
Core PCE model matches actual data

Guy LeBas highlighted the accuracy of his core PCE model after its prediction of a 0.37 percent increase closely matched the actual reported figure of 0.367 percent.

LeBas acknowledged the result, suggesting confidence in the modeling approach for this key economic indicator.

LeBas previously noted that January U.S. PCE inflation matched estimates, while personal spending exceeded forecasts and incomes lagged expectations in a recent report. On a separate occasion, he observed that IG cash spreads widened to 89 basis points, putting them in the lowest historical quintile, according to his analysis. His recent commentary continues a series of detailed observations across rates and credit markets.

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