Guy LeBas: Credit risk concerns remain despite narrow IG credit spreads

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Iryna Sazhynska

28.04.2026

Guy LeBas: Credit risk concerns remain despite narrow IG credit spreads — Credit risk fears and tight spreads

Guy LeBas, industry influencer, raises questions about the disconnect between perceived systemic credit risk and current market pricing. In a recent comment on a survey by Steve Liesman regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve's FOMC, LeBas points out that 70% of respondents labeled systemic credit risk as either extremely or somewhat elevated. Despite these concerns, investment grade credit spreads stand at 80 basis points, placing them in the bottom quintile.

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LeBas recently reported that his core PCE model projected a 0.37 percent increase, closely matching the actual 0.367 percent rise in economic data, according to his model update. He has also commented on a growing gap between crude futures prices and actual physical delivery, noting that asset classes have adjusted to this difference in a previous observation. These insights add context to his ongoing market commentary.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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