XRP price prediction: Will legal wins lift momentum? XRP gains 1.24%

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XRP rises 1.24% to $1.87 today

Highlights

XRP gained regulatory clarity in late 2025 as the SEC formally recognized its non-security status for public exchange sales after a settlement.
XRP spot ETFs launched in mid-November have accumulated over $1.1 billion in inflows, indicating robust institutional demand following regulatory approval.
Ripple received a conditional national trust bank charter from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, advancing XRP's integration with regulated financial infrastructure.

ETF inflows surge as regulatory clarity drives institutional demand

XRP achieved regulatory clarity in late 2025 after settling with the U.S. SEC, which formally recognized its non-security status for public exchange sales. This development enabled the launch of XRP spot ETFs in mid-November, which have since attracted over $1.1 billion in inflows, reflecting strong demand from institutional investors. Ripple also received a conditional national trust bank charter from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for its Ripple National Trust Bank, further integrating XRP into regulated financial infrastructure. Ongoing partnerships with financial institutions and central banks continue to strengthen XRP's role in cross-border payments.

Bearish momentum persists amid low volatility and divergence

Technically, the nearest dynamic resistance is Kijun at $1.9951, with immediate support at MA-5 ($1.8554). There are no golden or death crosses present. The overall momentum picture remains bearish: MACD and ADX both indicate selling pressure, with oscillators (RSI at 39.8, CCI at -75.5, and Stoch RSI near neutral) signaling no oversold conditions and BBP at -0.0217 confirming seller dominance intraday. The Awesome Oscillator is negative, reinforcing this outlook. Intraday, low volatility and mild upside momentum are present, but the divergence among indicators suggests any strength may be short-lived against the broader weak setup.

Sideways outlook dominates as technicals cap upside potential

Over the next five trading days, XRP is most likely to remain within a volatility band between $1.85 and $2.07. The chance of a sustained upside is below 20%, as all major weekly technical indicators point to weakness. The base case is for XRP to trade sideways within this corridor. A break above resistance at $1.9951 could trigger a bullish extension, while a move below $1.85 would confirm a bearish scenario.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, sees significant progress for XRP after the regulatory breakthrough and institutional inflows. He believes these fundamental shifts, along with Ripple’s deepening ties to global finance, support a positive medium-term outlook despite current technical weakness. Momentum remains weak, but sentiment and adoption are improving steadily. "If XRP can hold above $1.85 while flows remain strong, I see potential for a constructive reversal in the coming weeks."

Previously it was reported that XRP is trading below all major moving averages and remains under dominant selling pressure, as technical indicators such as MACD and ADX confirm a broad downside bias and RSI readings reflect continued but not yet oversold momentum. The asset faces strong resistance near the Ichimoku Kijun, while immediate support lies at today's lows, with probabilities favoring further downside unless a decisive breakout above resistance occurs.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.