XRP price prediction: Can ETFs and tokenization offset weak momentum?

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XRP climbs 1.68% today to $1.9054

Highlights

Over 750 million XRP tokens have been absorbed by spot XRP ETFs since SEC regulatory clarity in September 2025, driving exchange balances to multi-year lows and signaling strong institutional demand.
The XRP Ledger ecosystem is expanding with increased real-world asset tokenization, higher transaction volumes, integration of stablecoins like RLUSD, and more financial institution partnerships.
Ongoing product launches and the expansion of the ETF market remain key catalysts for further growth and institutional adoption within the XRP ecosystem.

Institutional inflows surge amid ETF launches and SEC clarity

XRP has seen substantial institutional adoption following regulatory clarity by the SEC in September 2025 and the launch of spot XRP ETFs, with over 750 million XRP tokens absorbed by these funds — driving exchange balances to multi-year lows and highlighting strong demand from institutional investors. The XRP Ledger ecosystem continues to grow, with increasing real-world asset tokenization, higher transaction volumes, and the integration of stablecoins like RLUSD as well as more financial institution partnerships. Ongoing developments such as additional product launches and ETF market expansion remain notable catalysts.

Intraday price strength clashes with weak daily momentum signals

Momentum signals remain weak, with the MACD on D1 in strong sell territory and ADX also pointing to a sell, suggesting downward trend strength. Oscillators show mild oversold conditions: RSI is subdued at 39.8, Stoch RSI is neutral but elevated, and CCI maintains a sell signal; BBP’s negative reading confirms that sellers dominate intraday momentum. Today, XRP rose 1.68% with no material gap at the open, currently trading near the upper third of its daily range (high at $1.9175), reflecting moderate volatility and a tone of strength toward the highs despite the broader bearish momentum. Divergences are evident, as the firm daily climb and localized price strength conflict with the overall negative signals from D1 momentum and oscillators.

Further declines likely as upside constrained by technical barriers

For the next five trading days, the expected price corridor for XRP is $1.86 to $1.92, with movements constrained within a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a significant price appreciation remains very low (less than 20%), and further declines are more likely given prevailing weekly and daily signals. The most probable scenario is continued sideways movement within this band. A bullish breakout requires clearing $1.9951 on high intraday volume, while a decisive close below $1.86 could open additional downside toward previous swing lows.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP trading under persistent bearish pressure, with momentum indicators all favoring sellers despite some localized price strength. He notes that institutional demand remains robust since regulatory clarity in 2025 and the launch of spot ETFs, but this has not been enough to reverse the overall negative trend. Kharitonov maintains a defensive stance, expecting the price to remain rangebound between $1.86 and $1.92 in the short term. "Until XRP definitively reclaims $1.9951 on strong volume, the risk of further decline stays elevated and I remain cautious here."

Previously it was reported that XRP remains under broad selling pressure, trading below all major moving averages and with technical indicators such as MACD and ADX signaling a bearish trend, while RSI and oscillators point to ongoing weakness without oversold conditions. Immediate resistance is near the Ichimoku Kijun and support at the recent lows, suggesting XRP is likely to trade sideways within a limited range unless a decisive breakout occurs.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.