Bitcoin price prediction: BTC jumps 2.8% as prolonged outflows drain selling pressure

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Bitcoin surges 2.8% after prolonged outflows

Highlights

Bitcoin price jumped 2.8% as spot outflows drained short-term selling supply
BTC open interest surged above $28B, confirms fresh long positions supporting the price rally
$90,300 resistance zone to determine whether December closes in profit or loss

The sharp rally today reflects the delayed impact of consistent spot outflows recorded since mid-December. CCoinGlassdata showed over eight consecutive days of red bars in Bitcoin exchange flows, meaning investors were steadily withdrawing BTC rather than depositing to sell. Historically, this points to strong accumulation by long-term holders and a drain in short-term selling supply. As liquidity thins during such periods, any wave of fresh demand tends to trigger quick upward movements.

Bitcoin price dynamics (Dec 2025). Source: TradingView

The 2.8% jump during the Asian session was also confirmed by derivatives metrics. Bitcoin open interest climbed from $27.2 to above $28 billion, indicating new positions were being opened alongside the rally. At the same time, funding rates turned more positive, a sign that bullish bets are increasing and longs are paying shorts to keep positions open. Together, this reflects a market tilt toward buyers regaining control after a phase of range-bound trade.

BTC outlook hinges on New York close above December’s resistance at $90,300

What makes this rally more technically significant is that it occurred right at the $90,300 mark, a key resistance level that capped upside attempts all through December. The timing is critical because a close above this threshold would shift Bitcoin’s December performance into green territory. So far, the month has printed net losses. The outcome of this retest could determine whether Bitcoin ends the final month of 2025 in profit or in loss.

Technically, the daily RSI, having spent most of November and December in bearish territory, has finally crossed out into bullish territory as a result of today’s rally. If Bitcoin price can hold above $90,300 through the New York session and attract further momentum, it would validate a short-term breakout toward the $94,000 resistance zone. A failure to stay above could trigger another rejection back toward the $87,000 area.

In recent analysis, we discussed how Bitcoin traded near $89,000 as institutions positioned ahead of the $23.7 billion options expiry. Max pain sat at $96,000, and an expiry below that level threatened to suppress post-expiry momentum.

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