Flow price prediction: Can security recovery efforts stem decline? FLOW drops 11.18%

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Flow plunges 11.18% to $0.0826 today

Highlights

A $3.9 million exploit on the Flow blockchain prompted validators to halt operations and consider a full chain rollback before reversing course after community backlash.
The Flow Foundation implemented targeted recovery measures—temporarily restricting affected addresses and limiting EVM operations to read-only mode—rather than a full rollback.
Forensic investigations confirmed no existing user balances were accessed, but community trust in Flow network security and governance suffered as a result of the incident.

Validator halt and community backlash reshape exploit response

A $3.9 million exploit on the Flow blockchain network led validators to halt operations and initially consider a full chain rollback before significant community backlash forced a change in approach. The Flow Foundation instead implemented a targeted recovery, temporarily restricting affected addresses and limiting EVM operations to read-only mode. Although the Foundation, alongside forensic partners, confirmed no existing user balances were accessed during the incident, community trust in network security and governance was negatively impacted.

Intensified bearish momentum as oversold signals show no reversal

Technically, FLOW remains under strong bearish pressure, with the nearest dynamic resistance at the $0.1532 Kijun level from Ichimoku and no immediate dynamic support at current prices. Momentum indicators are deeply negative: MACD and ADX highlight prolonged selling, daily RSI sits at 11.8, Stochastic RSI is zero, and CCI is below -200, all showing extreme oversold conditions without any sign of reversal. The Bull/Bear Power indicator is negative, confirming sellers’ control, while the Awesome Oscillator continues to issue sell signals. Today’s gap-down open and price action near session lows further reinforce dominant downside momentum.

Further downside likely barring improbable break of major resistance

Over the next five days, FLOW is likely to trade within a $0.0780 to $0.0850 volatility band relative to current levels, reflecting recent heightened price swings. With uniformly bearish technical signals on both daily and weekly charts, the probability of a rebound is low (less than 20%), while additional downside remains likely. The baseline case is price consolidation in a narrow, sideways channel below resistance, while a significant upside would require a break above $0.1532, which appears improbable without a rapid shift in momentum. A breakdown below $0.0780 could open further selling pressure and extend losses.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees FLOW locked in a pronounced downtrend after both technical breakdown and serious reputational damage from the recent exploit. He notes that extreme oversold conditions alone are not enough to raise rebound odds with sellers firmly in control and trust shaken. The analyst remains defensive, pointing to strong resistance at $0.1532 and little incentive to risk upside exposure. "Base case is sideways churn near the lows — further downside remains probable while security and sentiment stay weak."

Previously it was reported that Flow (FLOW) is experiencing strong bearish momentum, trading significantly below all major moving averages, with technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and oscillators confirming extreme oversold conditions and sustained downside pressure. Resistance is defined near the Ichimoku Kijun, with no major support levels nearby, and volatility remains elevated amid limited rebound potential.

Source of Data: FLOW Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.