XRP price prediction: High volatility to persist? XRP trades near session lows

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XRP drops 4.30% today to $1.36

Highlights

XRP spot and covered-call ETF launches have driven $6.3 million in new US inflows on Monday and totaled $1.23 billion year-to-date, reflecting robust investor demand.
Ripple's recent ETF momentum has helped offset negative sentiment from a policy setback surrounding TradFi-DeFi stablecoin yield discussions at the White House.
XRP trades at $1.3592, far below MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, with a bearish technical outlook and key support at $1.22 and resistance at $1.60.

ETF-driven inflows cushion impact of policy setbacks on XRP

Recent corporate action for XRP centers on the launch of spot and covered-call XRP ETFs, which have driven strong inflows, including $6.3 million in new US ETF investments on a recent Monday and a cumulative $1.23 billion attracted overall. This substantial demand from both institutional and retail investors has helped to cushion losses stemming from a recent policy setback regarding TradFi-DeFi stablecoin yield discussions at the White House. Ripple continues to see heightened interest from San Francisco-based fintech and custody firms regarding new ETF-related products and services.

Bearish momentum persists as technical barriers amplify selling pressure

Momentum indicators for XRP remain firmly bearish, with the price trading under all major moving averages and encountering nearby resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun of $1.6019. The lack of dynamic support from Ichimoku at present levels and lingering oversold readings on the RSI, CCI, and Stochastic RSI reflect relentless selling pressure. Both MACD and ADX confirm the dominance of sellers on the daily timeframe, while Bull/Bear Power remains negative.

Downside risk elevated amid low rebound probability and range-bound trade

In the short term, the outlook for XRP favors continued high volatility within a typical range of $1.22 to $1.50, with the probability of a rebound above $1.60 considered low (less than 20%). Sideways action is likely unless a breakout above the $1.60 resistance or a breakdown below the $1.22 support occurs. Technical signals currently align in favor of sellers, making further downside the primary risk scenario.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP displaying resilience despite persistent downward technical pressure. He believes robust ETF inflows and sustained institutional interest have helped prevent deeper losses, even amid recent policy setbacks and technical weakness. Short-term volatility and seller dominance are likely to continue, but the improving fundamentals and renewed investor demand offer long-term optimism. As Karapetjanc says, "ETF-driven inflows and rising institutional attention set the stage for future rebounds, even if the current market remains challenging for XRP."

Last time, analysts noted that Ripple is intensifying its presence in Gulf markets by expanding its partnership with UAE-based Zand Bank, focusing on stablecoins and local-currency liquidity as regional institutions test tokenized payments and onchain settlement. The collaboration will place Ripple USD and Zand’s AED-backed stablecoin at the forefront, with AEDZ issuance on the XRP Ledger potentially broadening local-currency liquidity and supporting Ripple’s entry into regulated custody environments.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.