Solana price prediction: Can new inflows stabilize decline? SOL gains 1.51%

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Solana gains 1.51% to $83.56 today

Highlights

Spot Solana ETFs in the U.S. attracted $2.4 million in net inflows this week, pushing cumulative inflows to nearly $880 million and indicating sustained institutional demand.
On-chain data from Messari shows real-world asset value on Solana jumped 59% quarter-over-quarter to reach $1.1 billion, mainly driven by tokenized treasury product growth.
SOL trades at $83.56, below MA-20 ($88.14), MA-50 ($115.16), and MA-200 ($161.63), with persistent bearish momentum and key support at $75.00 and resistance near $98.00.

Institutional inflows and tokenized asset growth boost network activity

Spot Solana ETFs in the U.S. recorded $2.4 million in net inflows this week, lifting cumulative inflows to nearly $880 million and underscoring ongoing institutional demand. On-chain data from Messari reported that real-world asset value on the Solana network climbed 59% quarter-over-quarter to reach $1.1 billion, primarily due to growth in tokenized treasury products. Additional developments included WisdomTree expanding its regulated tokenized funds on Solana and a partnership with Fireblocks to advance institutional treasury services.

Persistent bearish momentum despite oversold readings and mild volatility

Momentum signals remain decisively negative. Both MACD and ADX on the daily chart indicate strong downward momentum, while RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI all show an oversold or near-oversold condition, suggesting ongoing weakness without a clear reversal. Bull/Bear Power is deeply negative, confirming that sellers are controlling the session. Despite being up 1.51% ($1.24) on the day and trading near the top of today’s range, overall volatility is moderate and short-term oscillators showing sporadic buying are not enough to overcome the broader bearish momentum.

Sideways bias as oversold technicals limit rebound prospects

Over the next five sessions, the price is expected to remain in the $75.00 – $92.00 band, consistent with typical weekly volatility around the current level. There is a less than 20% probability of a price increase within this period, so a further decline remains more likely. The baseline scenario is for SOL to trade sideways within this corridor as oversold technicals try to stabilize sentiment. Bullish momentum would require a breakout above the Kijun resistance at $98.00, while a drop below $75.00 could trigger additional bearish acceleration, as both daily and weekly trends remain aligned to the downside.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees clear short-term pressure on Solana, but notes impressive institutional flows and asset growth on the network. He believes oversold technicals may help stabilize sentiment as inflows and tokenized adoption signal robust fundamental interest. Despite technical weakness, the analyst remains confident in the project's macro and institutional potential. "SOL's fundamentals remain strong and institutional demand is rising — if price holds above $75.00, I see good odds for a constructive reversal toward the $98.00 level."

Last time, analysts noted that U.S.-listed crypto ETFs, particularly those tracking Bitcoin and Ether, continued to experience sustained outflows and muted trading volumes, reflecting institutional caution amid ongoing price weakness and persistent volatility. Conversely, Solana ETFs stood out with continued inflows, demonstrating selective rotation within crypto assets, while technical indicators for major funds suggest fragile sentiment and a lack of decisive support levels.

Source of Data: SOL Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.