Uniswap gains 7.24% as price jumps despite negative technical momentum

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Uniswap jumps 7.24% to $3.555 today

Highlights

UNI trades at $3.555, just above the MA-20 ($3.4451), but is well below the MA-50 ($4.3366) and MA-200 ($6.7142), reflecting ongoing medium- and long-term bearish pressure.
Momentum remains predominantly bearish with MACD indicating a strong sell bias, RSI at 37.74, and ADX pointing to a weak trend, though oscillators do not confirm clear oversold conditions.
Expected five-day price corridor is $3.20–$3.80, with a probability of price increase under 20% and sellers likely to retain control barring a break above $3.72.

Bearish momentum diverges from intraday price recovery and resistance challenge

Momentum signals remain predominantly bearish with the MACD showing a strong sell bias and the ADX indicating a weak trend. On the D1, both the RSI (37.74) and CCI (-98.30) point to a lack of bullish momentum, yet neither is in clear oversold territory; meanwhile, Stochastic RSI is near neutral and Bull/Bear Power remains negative, with sellers retaining the upper hand intraday. The Awesome Oscillator does not strongly support the ongoing downtrend. The Ichimoku Kijun level on the D1 is $3.7165 and acts as immediate resistance. UNI opened with no significant gap, and after rising 7.24% to $3.555, the price is trading near today’s high ($3.557) following a session of high intraday volatility and strength toward the highs. This recovery at the upper end of today’s range contrasts with the mostly negative signals from oscillators, highlighting divergence between the latest price jump and broader technical momentum.

Downside favored as weak momentum shapes five-day trading range

For the next five trading days, the expected price corridor shifts to $3.20 – $3.80, reflecting a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), with a decline considerably more likely. Baseline scenario: UNI fluctuates sideways between $3.20 and $3.80 as weak momentum persists. In a bullish scenario, UNI could attempt a break above $3.72 toward the $3.80 zone, while in the bearish case, selling may push the price below $3.33, targeting the lower part of the range near $3.20.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Uniswap’s technical outlook as weak despite today’s price recovery. He notes that medium- and long-term trends remain negative, with most momentum indicators pointing to persistent bearish pressure. The current move above $3.55 looks vulnerable as sellers dominate and upside resistance remains strong. "Until UNI breaks above $3.72 with clear momentum, I remain highly defensive and do not trust the strength of this rebound."

Most recently, analysts highlighted that Uniswap is exhibiting near-term stabilization above its weekly MA-20 but remains positioned below longer-term moving averages, underscoring persistent bearish pressure despite recent gains. Momentum indicators signal mildly oversold conditions with limited upside, while the asset is anticipated to consolidate with a bearish bias between key support at $3.15 and resistance near $3.72 in the coming days.

Source of Data: UNI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.