-7.26% for Lido — Downtrend persists despite V3 upgrade news

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Lido slides 7.26% to $0.2746 today

Highlights

Lido DAO remains a dominant player in Ethereum liquid staking, holding over $18 billion in total value locked and 22.8% of all staked ETH.
The upcoming Lido V3 upgrade and announced token buyback aim to influence project tokenomics amid broader selling pressure in the asset.
LDO trades well below major technical levels, with strong bearish trend signals and a forecasted 5-day range of $0.248 to $0.302, making further downside more probable.

Lido upgrade and buybacks prompt ecosystem shifts amid sustained sales

Lido DAO has maintained a significant presence in Ethereum liquid staking, currently managing over $18 billion in total value locked and securing around 22.8% of all staked ETH. The protocol is preparing for the Lido V3 upgrade and a token buyback program, which are planned to affect the project’s ecosystem and tokenomics. These developments were accompanied by broader selling pressure.

Bearish technical signals deepen as momentum intensifies and volatility rises

Momentum signals are clearly bearish: the MACD on the daily and weekly timeframes both indicate a strong sell, and the ADX readings point to strong negative momentum on the daily and moderate trend strength on the weekly. The RSI is in oversold territory (D1: 33.5, W1: 29.1), the Stochastic RSI is neutral, and the Commodity Channel Index is also deeply oversold, confirming underlying weakness. Bull/Bear Power signals that sellers are firmly in control intraday, with the Awesome Oscillator neutral, lending little support for a reversal. The price declined 7.26% today, with no gap between the previous close and today’s open, and is now near the bottom of today’s range ($0.2707–$0.2845). Volatility is high and the intraday tone is pressured after the open, with technical and price dynamics both confirming persistent selling.

Downside scenarios predominate as low breakout odds curb upside

Looking ahead, the adjusted forecast range for the next 5 trading days is $0.248 to $0.302, bracketing the current level to reflect recent volatility and downward momentum. There is a very low probability (less than 20%) of a meaningful price increase, with downside scenarios much more likely given all weekly indicators signaling sell or strong sell. The baseline scenario is for LDO to consolidate in a sideways corridor within the stated band. A bullish scenario would require the price to break above the $0.32 resistance, but signals do not support this outcome. In the bearish scenario, a drop below $0.25 could accelerate downside momentum toward new lows.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Lido DAO (LDO) deeply entrenched in a bearish technical and sentiment-driven trend. Negative momentum clearly dominates, with persistent selling outweighing any fundamental positives from upcoming upgrades or buybacks. He believes the price is likely to consolidate in the $0.248–$0.302 range unless the $0.32 resistance is broken. "Until a decisive breakout above $0.32, the risk remains to the downside and I stay defensive here."

Previously it was reported that Lido continues to trade under pronounced bearish pressure, with the price positioned below all major moving averages and daily technical indicators—MACD, ADX, and RSI—confirming a strong downside trend. Immediate resistance remains at the Ichimoku Kijun level, while elevated volatility and persistent selling suggest limited upside, favoring continued range-bound or lower price action in the near term.

Source of Data: LDO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.