UNI slides as MACD remains in sell configuration

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Uniswap drops 4.92% this week

Highlights

UNI trades well below major moving averages, reflecting dominant seller pressure and a prevailing bearish technical setup.
Momentum and trend signals remain weak to neutral, with oversold indicators reinforcing limited upside traction in the near term.
For the next week, UNI is expected to consolidate between $3.70 and $4.35, with a breakout scenario unlikely unless buying volume picks up above resistance.

Bearish momentum persists as indicators reinforce downside risk over the week

On the weekly timeframe, UNI’s technical setup points to continued weakness. The price is entrenched below all major weekly moving averages, with the MA-20 at $5.073 acting as the nearest ceiling and the MA-50 at $6.655 confirming a bearish outlook. Weekly momentum indicators are negative, as the MACD stays in sell configuration and the ADX reflects an absence of clear trend strength. The RSI, Commodity Channel Index, and Stochastic RSI all indicate oversold or neutral market conditions, with Bull/Bear Power favoring sellers. Volatility stands elevated at 13.43%, suggesting the market is stabilizing but hesitating on directional commitment; oscillator divergences hint at ongoing uncertainty.

Range-bound outlook favored as weak technicals limit upside next week

For the upcoming week, UNI is likely to consolidate within a range of $3.70 to $4.35, with volatility maintaining activity inside this corridor. Recent technical signals and continued weakness in oscillators suggest a less than 20% chance of a sustained rally, keeping downside and sideways scenarios in focus. A climb above $4.35 would be needed to shift momentum positively, while a loss of the $3.70 support could trigger further seller pressure.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees that Uniswap (UNI) stayed under heavy selling pressure this week, with price holding below all major weekly moving averages. He notes that technical signals do not suggest building upside momentum, as the MACD stays negative and oscillators show oversold or neutral conditions. Volatility was elevated, but price action this week only managed a modest rebound, leaving UNI well below its key resistance at $5.073. Kharitonov remains cautious given the dominance of sellers and lack of clear bullish signals in market structure. He believes that consolidation within $3.70 to $4.35 is the most likely scenario for the coming week. "As long as UNI remains below $5.073, I see no strong case for recovery — downside risk and range trading remain in focus."

Previously it was reported that Uniswap is exhibiting short-term bullish momentum above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, but remains well below the 200-day average, with mixed signals from key indicators such as a neutral MACD and ADX, and a mildly bearish RSI. For the coming days, UNI is expected to consolidate sideways between immediate support at $3.87 and resistance at $4.20, as intraday buyer strength is tempered by weak underlying trend conviction and elevated volatility.

Source of Data: UNI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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