XRP price prediction: $1.36–$1.43 range holds as XRP falls 2.03%

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XRP slides 2.03% to $1.3814 today

Highlights

Institutional ownership of XRP surged to $1.1 billion as 1.26% of total supply moved into spot XRP ETFs.
April-May ETF inflows of $110 million and a 26% uptick in on-chain volume contrast with sustained price pressure.
XRP trades below key moving averages, with technicals indicating a sideways-to-bearish bias and an expected $1.36–$1.43 range near term.

Institutional buying tightens supply amid sustained ETF inflows

On May 7, 2026, 1.26% of total XRP supply was transferred into spot XRP ETFs, increasing institutional ownership to about $1.1 billion and reducing the amount of XRP available for active trading. U.S. spot XRP ETFs collectively accumulated $1.11 billion in assets, demonstrating the scale of institutional participation. Additional ETF inflows of $110 million during April and May, alongside a 26% rise in network on-chain volume, illustrated sustained transactional activity on the network, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Divergent technical signals as bullish MACD clashes with weak momentum

XRP is positioned just below the SMA-50 at $1.3842 and remains significantly under the SMA-200 at $1.7742, with immediate resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun line of $1.4147. Short-term technical analysis shows the daily MACD remains firmly bullish, yet both daily and weekly RSI and ADX suggest weak and declining momentum. Stoch RSI signals strong selling pressure, while CCI appears neutral and BBP identifies light but not decisive buying throughout the day. There is a clear divergence between the bullish MACD and broader weakness across other momentum indicators.

Rangebound outlook as upside probability remains subdued

Over the coming week, XRP is expected to fluctuate within a typical volatility band of $1.3600 to $1.4300, keeping the current price close to the midpoint of this range. The probability of a meaningful upside move remains low, with less than a 20% chance of breaking higher. Most likely, the price will drift sideways inside this range unless a breakout above immediate resistance at $1.4147 occurs. A drop below $1.36 could open the way for accelerated downside given the lack of firm technical support nearby.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees substantial institutional demand building a stronger foundation for XRP. He notes that ETF inflows, growing on-chain activity, and a tightening tradable float support underlying value, even as short-term technicals remain under pressure. Karapetjanc believes price will likely stay in the current range but views accumulating institutional exposure as a constructive long-term signal. "While technical momentum may be weak for now, the scale of institutional participation and active network growth gives me confidence that XRP’s broader setup is becoming more supportive with time."

Previously it was reported that Ondo Finance in partnership with major financial institutions, completed the first real-time cross-border redemption of tokenized U.S. Treasury securities on the XRP Ledger, signaling growing institutional use of XRP’s blockchain infrastructure. Building on this institutional momentum, traders should monitor for any sustained ETF inflow-driven uptick, as a breakout above $1.4147 could quickly shift sentiment and broaden XRP’s upside potential.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.