XRP price prediction: Can $1.45–$1.46 resistance cap upside? XRP trades flat

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XRP rises 0.43% to $1.3741 today

Highlights

Institutional investors are reducing exposure to XRP on Binance, signaling waning large-scale support and weaker buying interest.
Declining participation from major market players is creating a liquidity headwind, despite a minor daily price rebound in XRP.
XRP trades below key technical levels with bearish medium- and long-term signals; price likely consolidates between $1.34 and $1.46, downside risk elevated.

Weakened liquidity as institutional inflows turn negative on Binance

Institutional accumulation of XRP has shifted negative, as recent capital inflows data reveals weakening support from large investors on Binance. Reduced participation by these key market players typically lessens overall liquidity and buying interest, influencing general sentiment around the asset. This backdrop has become a notable headwind for XRP, even as it shows a modest daily rebound.

Oversold signals persist amid resistance and mixed momentum indicators

On the technical front, XRP is currently trading below the SMA-20 ($1.4144), SMA-50 ($1.3951), and SMA-200 ($1.7034). The Ichimoku Kijun level on the daily chart stands at $1.4477, serving as the next resistance. There is no visible gap at the open, and the price is currently fluctuating near the middle of today’s range ($1.3665–$1.3856), indicating moderate intraday volatility. MACD and ADX on the daily timeframe both remain neutral, yet on the weekly chart, these indicators have turned decisively bearish. Meanwhile, the daily RSI sits at 42, Stoch RSI reads as oversold, and CCI is deeply negative, indicating prevailing oversold conditions and a potential for a technical bounce, though BBP remains negative and signals persistent selling dominance.

Downside risks outweigh as range-bound trading set to continue

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to move within a $1.34–$1.46 volatility band relative to current levels. The likelihood of a sustained price increase is low, with estimated probability under 20%, meaning downside risk continues to outweigh upside. The baseline scenario remains sideways consolidation between $1.34 and $1.46. Should XRP break above the immediate resistance at $1.45–$1.46, a bullish squeeze toward higher levels cannot be excluded, while a drop below $1.34 would leave the asset more exposed to further declines.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the recent negative shift in institutional accumulation as a key development for XRP. He believes that reduced support from large investors now acts as a headwind despite oversold technical readings and a minor price rebound. The expert remains confident that fundamental demand could recover, but recognizes that the market is waiting for a clear catalyst. "If XRP can reclaim the $1.45–$1.46 zone, we could see renewed buying interest and the next bullish wave take shape."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP was under sustained bearish pressure driven by weak technical momentum and diminished institutional support. This outlook is reinforced by the latest data, highlighting that renewed negative flows from major holders on Binance maintain downside risk and make a break below $1.34 a critical development to monitor in the coming week.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.