XRP price prediction: $1.31 support in focus as XRP trades sideways

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XRP falls 0.81% to $1.3474 today

Highlights

The XRP Ledger mandates a protocol upgrade to version 3.1.3 by May 27, 2026, risking network instability during partial adoption.
XRP ETF daily inflows have dropped 93% from their November 2025 peak to $6.9 million, but assets remain above $1 billion, signaling sustained institutional interest.
XRP trades below key moving averages with bearish momentum, and is likely to stay rangebound between $1.31 and $1.36 over the next week.

System upgrade risks emerge as ETF inflows sharply recede

The XRP Ledger has imposed a mandatory protocol upgrade to version 3.1.3 for all network nodes, with the transition deadline set for May 27, 2026; as of May 25, over half of nodes had already completed the upgrade. This infrastructure transition ensures future access to core network functions but may temporarily affect transaction processing or ecosystem stability, depending on the speed of full adoption. Separately, XRP ETF products recorded a 93% decline in daily inflows from their November 2025 launch peak to $6.9 million in May 2026, although the total asset base remains substantial at over $1 billion, reflecting sustained institutional presence within the segment.

Seller dominance persists as oscillators highlight oversold divergence

The $1.3474 price level places XRP below the SMA-20 ($1.4044), SMA-50 ($1.3980), and SMA-200 ($1.6793), while the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.4258 stands as immediate resistance. On the daily chart, both MACD and ADX confirm ongoing weakness in momentum, and the weekly MACD also indicates a persistent downtrend. The RSI is under 50 on both the daily (41.9) and weekly (36.6) timeframes, reinforcing subdued momentum, and Stoch RSI alongside CCI suggest oversold conditions. BBP is negative and generates a Sell signal, underscoring continued seller dominance in the intraday timeframe. Divergence is notable as short-term oscillators flag oversold status, contrasting with persistent negative price action and momentum readings.

Rangebound trading likely as breakout probabilities remain subdued

Over the next five sessions, XRP is expected to fluctuate within a narrow band between $1.31 and $1.36 in line with typical short-term volatility. The likelihood of an upward move is low, with less than a 20% probability assigned to a meaningful rally. Price action is anticipated to remain rangebound unless a confirmed breakout above the $1.43 resistance occurs, while a decisive breach below $1.31 could open the door to new lows.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that XRP remains under pressure below key moving averages and continues to show weak momentum on both daily and weekly charts. He points to declining XRP ETF inflows and the necessity of the XRPL protocol upgrade as factors that may keep sentiment muted in the near term. Kharitonov sees low probability for a meaningful rally unless the price firmly reclaims the $1.43 resistance. "For now, I remain cautious on XRP — without a breakout above $1.43, I expect price action to stay subdued."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP was exhibiting persistent bearish momentum, with technical signals pointing to subdued price action and limited upside prospects. The current environment not only confirms these ongoing challenges but also introduces potential near-term volatility tied to the network's protocol upgrade, making close attention to the $1.31 support level critical for gauging further downside risk.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.