Bitcoin price faces cooling pressure below key EMAs after institutional-led May breakout
Bitcoin price strong rally into May, driven by a wave of institutional demand, is now facing a cooling-off phase.
The U.S. Bitcoin Spot ETFs recorded $1.81 billion in net inflows at the turn of the month—marking the third-largest weekly inflow of 2025. BlackRock’s IBIT led the charge with $2.48 billion in new investments, reflecting sustained appetite from traditional finance.
That momentum pushed Bitcoin to a three-month high of $98,000 ahead of the weekend. However, the rally didn’t last. A sharp downturn began over the weekend, with consecutive declines on Saturday and Sunday driving the price to a five-day low of $93,600. The drop erased all early May gains, suggesting the rally might have run ahead of itself.
Bitcoin momentum indicator diverges: 4hr RSI hints bearish while daily hints bullish
In the European session today, Bitcoin briefly rebounded from $93,600 support, gaining over 1% to reach near $95,000, before stabilizing. At the time of writing, it’s up just 0.3%—a modest intraday recovery. However, on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin remains pinned below key short-term resistance levels: the 20 EMA at $95,600 and the 50 EMA at $95,000. These moving averages now act as a ceiling to further upside attempts.
BTC price dynamics (Jan - May 2025). Source: TradingView
On the downside, $92,900 remains a critical support area, having served as the base of last week’s consolidation. Interestingly, volume has held steady through the correction, suggesting a lack of panic selling and possible accumulation beneath the surface.
There’s a mixed signal in momentum indicators. The 4-hour RSI has dipped into bearish territory, hinting at further short-term weakness. However, the daily RSI is still in bullish territory, an indication that the broader uptrend is still intact, and the recent decline could be a healthy retracement rather than a trend reversal. Overall, the picture shows a market taking a breather after strong institutional-led gains, while traders look to key levels around $92,900 and $95,600 to decide the next leg.
Bitcoin broke past key resistance at $95,850, backed by rising volume and nearly 3% weekly gains. Price paused near $96,800 as $2.54B in options expired and traders watched for a breakout.
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