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Mario Nawfal, founder & CEO at IBC Group, reports that the ongoing Iran war is significantly impacting the global economy on two fronts, with the burden falling hardest on the world's poorest populations.
According to Nawfal, the World Bank has reduced its 2026 growth forecast to 2.5 percent, marking the slowest pace since the COVID pandemic. The downgrade is attributed to escalating energy prices and inflation following recent developments in Iran, including the closure of a major transit route.
Nawfal previously reported that Iran's suspension of negotiations led to immediate gains in WTI crude prices and a drop in the S&P 500, reflecting heightened market sensitivity to geopolitical risks (link). In another instance, his coverage detailed how the SpaceX IPO filing drove a substantial rally in space and satellite stocks, including a 26% jump for Redwire (link). These recent events highlight the rapid cross-sector impact of geopolitical and corporate developments.