HBAR latest news: Momentum weakens with oscillators mixed, sellers dominate intraday

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Hedera Slides 9.85% Today

Highlights

Hedera (HBAR) trades at $0.21482, below its MA-20 and MA-50 but above MA-200 ($0.20076), reflecting short-term weakness amid long-term support.
Significant HBAR whale accumulation and selling, plus high exchange inflows, maintains network volatility as investors await spot HBAR ETF approval deadline on November 8.
Price slid 9.85% today to near-session low with sellers dominating intraday, while five-day forecasts favor sideways movement between $0.20552 and $0.20626.

Whale outflows and ETF decision drive volatile ecosystem activity

Recent whale activity in HBAR has resulted in notable accumulations early in the year around $0.70, followed by substantial sell-offs and significant exchange deposits, reflecting high transaction volumes and ongoing volatility within the network. Stablecoin supply swings and continued development of network applications such as decentralized identity and supply chain solutions have contributed to activity in the ecosystem. The upcoming regulatory milestone for the spot HBAR ETF, with the approval deadline on November 8, remains a focal point for investors.

Divergent momentum and high volatility reinforce short-term bearish tone

Momentum indicators show weak conviction. The daily MACD remains bullish but ADX is neutral, indicating limited trend strength. Oscillators are mixed: the daily RSI at 56 and CCI are neutral to slightly positive, while Stoch RSI is also neutral. However, the Bull/Bear Power points to seller domination intraday, with the Awesome Oscillator reinforcing the bearish tone. The price slid 9.85% today, with no gap at the open and movement near the session’s low within a broad range of $0.21116 to $0.23483. Volatility is high, and there is persistent downside pressure after the open. Divergence among oscillators and momentum signals reflects a short-term struggle between buyers and sellers.

Sideways bias dominates as bullish breakout hinges on resistance

For the next five days, HBAR is expected to fluctuate between $0.20552 and $0.20626. The probability of a price increase is very high (more than 80%), making a decline less likely. The baseline scenario calls for sideways movement within this band. A bullish scenario would require a break above $0.2327 resistance, targeting higher levels. A bearish scenario would see the price falling below the $0.20076 support, paving the way for deeper retracement.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, believes HBAR’s current price positioning below its MA-20 and MA-50 but above the MA-200 underscores persistent short-term volatility yet maintains a favorable long-term technical foundation. He sees robust investor interest—evidenced by high-volume whale activity and anticipation around the spot HBAR ETF’s regulatory decision—alongside continued development in decentralized identity and supply chain infrastructure. Although intraday signals point to weakness, sentiment and fundamentals indicate that HBAR may revert to a neutral or positive mean within the expected range as macro factors and innovation support buyer confidence. "With HBAR’s ecosystem growth and high probability for upward movement, I remain optimistic and expect consolidation with an eventual push higher if $0.2327 resistance is breached."

Previously it was noted that institutional interest in HBAR is increasing following recent ETF filings and growing enterprise adoption. Last time we reported that price is expected to consolidate within a sideways or lower bias as breakout risks remain subdued.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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