HBAR latest news: breaks above 20-day MA, but bearish indicators cap upside momentum

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Hedera rises 12.76% today on inflows

Highlights

Vanguard launched its first HBAR ETF after Canary Capital's approval, driving over $80 million in net inflows and expanding Hedera's reach to traditional investors.
HBAR was added to the Coinbase 50 Index during the Q4 2025 rebalancing, signaling growing institutional attention and relevance for Hedera.
Hedera partnered with Axelar to enable cross-chain asset transfers across more than 60 blockchain platforms, strengthening interoperability and network utility.

Institutional inflows accelerate as new ETF launches and partnerships surface

Vanguard has introduced its first HBAR ETF, following approval and initial launch by Canary Capital, providing traditional market investors with access to Hedera and bringing in over $80 million in net inflows. HBAR was also added to the Coinbase 50 Index during the recent Q4 2025 rebalancing, highlighting increasing institutional attention and relevance. Additionally, Hedera announced a partnership with Axelar to enable cross-chain asset transfers across more than 60 blockchain platforms.

Conflicted momentum signals amid bearish bias and overbought conditions

Technically, HBAR is trading above its MA-20 ($0.1452), which serves as immediate support, but it remains below the MA-50 ($0.1654) and the MA-200 ($0.1992), keeping the medium- and long-term picture bearish. The nearest resistance is found at the MA-50 ($0.1654), with additional resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun level ($0.1606). Momentum indicators on the daily chart are conflicted: the Stoch RSI is extremely overbought at 100, whereas the classical RSI is subdued at 45 and CCI remains negative, all suggesting the breakout may lack sustainability. Bull/Bear Power (BBP) is elevated and reflects strong intraday buying interest, with MACD and ADX hinting at weak downside pressure despite today’s upward move.

Limited upside potential as consolidation likely drives near-term direction

Over the next five trading days, HBAR is expected to trade in the $0.134–$0.155 volatility band relative to current levels, reflecting recent market swings. The probability of a further price increase is considered very low (less than 20%), as weekly indicators suggest continued downward pressure. The baseline scenario is for HBAR to consolidate sideways between $0.134 and $0.155, while a decisive break above $0.1606 could initiate an advance toward $0.165, and a drop below $0.145 may prompt a retest of $0.134 or lower amid sustained bearish momentum.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, notes that Hedera (HBAR) is benefiting from strong sentiment and institutional developments, such as the new ETF and Coinbase index inclusion. He sees the token supported by these positive flows, despite technical signals suggesting consolidation. However, HBAR remains below key medium-term averages, so upside may need further confirmation. "With institutional exposure expanding and cross-chain adoption growing, I expect HBAR to remain resilient as long as it holds above the $0.145 area."

Previously it was reported that HBAR continued to trade below its major moving averages, with daily indicators—such as MACD, ADX, RSI, and CCI—confirming persistent bearish momentum and oscillators approaching oversold territory. Upward moves remained capped by resistance around the Ichimoku Kijun line amid volatile price sessions, while robust inflows into the newly launched ETF signaled strengthening institutional interest despite prevailing negative trend signals.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.