Nvidia stock price forecast: Balanced range ahead as NVDA gains 2.11% on bullish news

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Nvidia rises 2.11% to $184.16 today

Highlights

Nvidia's Vera CPU is now deployed in Meta data centers, strengthening its AI infrastructure through a significant multi-year collaboration.
US regulators have dropped a proposed export rule curbing Nvidia’s international AI chip sales, removing a short-term growth limitation except for China.
NVDA trades below near-term moving averages with mixed momentum, suggesting choppy action and a likely $180–$188 sideways range over the next week.

AI demand and export rule relief drive data center growth prospects

Nvidia has entered production with its Vera CPU, now operating in Meta data centers under a multi-year collaboration announced in February. U.S. authorities have withdrawn a draft export licensing rule that would have limited Nvidia's international AI chip sales, removing a near-term growth constraint, though China-specific restrictions remain. The company recently reported quarterly results featuring a 263% year-over-year surge in Data Center Networking revenue to $10.98 billion, largely driven by strong demand for AI hardware and broad adoption of NVLink. Investors are also looking ahead to next week's GTC 2026 conference for additional AI and data center developments.

Technical indecision as resistance holds and momentum signals diverge

Technical signals for NVDA remain mixed. The current price sits below the SMA-20 ($184.93) and SMA-50 ($185.46), but is above the SMA-200 ($177.38), highlighting ongoing short- and medium-term resistance versus long-term support. The Ichimoku Kijun on the daily timeframe is at $184.33, which acts as immediate resistance. Daily momentum indicators are conflicting: the MACD shows a Sell with negative value, ADX is low (indicating weak trend strength), and RSI is at 45.39 (Sell), while Stoch RSI and CCI are neutral. Bull/Bear Power (BBP) signals strong buyer presence intraday, but low overall volatility and divergence among indicators reflect market uncertainty.

Sideways price risk as volatility compresses and unclear directional cues

Over the next 5 trading days, NVDA is expected to trade between $180.00 and $188.00, reflecting a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of an upward or downward move is balanced at roughly 50% each, suggesting likely sideways price action within this range. Should NVDA break above immediate resistance at $184.33, a push toward $188.00 may unfold; failure to hold above the SMA-20 or Kijun level could see the price retreat toward $180.00 support. Choppy action may persist, and confirmation is needed before a clear directional move develops.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Nvidia constrained by short- and medium-term technical resistance despite a supportive long-term trend. He notes fundamental drivers like surging data center revenue and regulatory relief are offset by mixed technical signals and ongoing market uncertainty. Base case remains for sideways action unless $184.33 is reclaimed or lost. "Until we see a confirmed breakout above immediate resistance, I remain cautious and prefer to wait for a stronger directional signal."

Earlier, analysts noted that Nvidia’s long-term prospects remain closely linked to ongoing advances in artificial intelligence and the company’s ability to maintain leadership in high-performance computing. The recent removal of a potential export constraint and strong data center growth reinforce this narrative, but traders should monitor the $180–$188 range, as near-term price action remains highly sensitive to shifts in technical sentiment and news from upcoming industry events.

Source of Data: NVDA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.