With the Federal Reserve set to announce its latest policy decision this week, President Donald Trump is renewing pressure for lower borrowing costs while praising Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. His remarks also spotlight a widening split between the White House's push for easier policy and central bank officials' concerns about stubborn inflation.
Highlights
- Donald Trump endorses Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve, criticizes current Fed board members for blocking lower interest rates ahead of this week's FOMC decision.
- Markets expect the Federal Open Market Committee to keep rates at 3.5% to 3.75%, with CME FedWatch showing a one-in-three chance of a quarter-point increase.
- Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, signal ongoing caution on rate cuts due to persistently high inflation and call for possibly higher benchmark rates.
Fed decision looms as Trump presses for cuts
As reported by CNBC, Trump says on Monday that Warsh is "fantastic" but argues other members of the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors are acting politically and standing in the way of lower interest rates.Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump says Warsh wants to do the right thing, while suggesting some Fed officials have "bad intentions." He repeats his long-running call for lower rates, saying the U.S. should have the lowest interest rate in the world and arguing cheaper borrowing could lift economic growth much higher.
The comments come two days before the Federal Open Market Committee releases its latest rate decision. Markets are pricing in a strong chance that policymakers leave rates unchanged, continuing the stance they have maintained throughout the year, though CME Group's FedWatch tool still shows about a one-in-three chance of a quarter-point increase.
Inflation concerns keep policy outlook tight
Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials point to continued caution on easing policy, with several policymakers warning that inflation remains persistently high.Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, a voting FOMC member this year, is the clearest advocate of tighter policy in recent days, saying benchmark rates should be "modestly higher."
The Fed's benchmark overnight borrowing rate is currently targeted at 3.5% to 3.75%, where it has remained since the central bank cut rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in the second half of 2025. That level is roughly in line with the Bank of England, but above the European Central Bank's 2.25%, Japan's 1% and China's 3%.
Our earlier coverage of the Fed’s July rate decision expectations explained why markets were leaning toward rates staying unchanged, even as traders watched for clues about a possible move later in the year. We also outlined how rebounding oil prices and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions were adding inflation risk, keeping Treasury yields and consumer borrowing costs elevated while savers continued to benefit from comparatively strong deposit rates.
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