Here’s why Affirm is sliding

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Affirm Slides 5.89% to $67.31 Today

Highlights

Affirm reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $876.42 million and earnings of $0.20 per share, both beating analyst estimates.
Affirm advanced its business with new or expanded BNPL partnerships, including direct integration with Wayfair and extended BNPL rollout via Worldpay.
Recent institutional moves saw Rareview Capital LLC and Elyxium Wealth LLC initiate new positions in Affirm's shares, signaling growing investor interest.

Earnings beat and new partnerships drive institutional inflows

Affirm reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results with revenue of $876.42 million and earnings of $0.20 per share, both exceeding analyst estimates. The company has continued to expand its business through new and deepened partnerships, such as direct BNPL integration with Wayfair and extending BNPL via Worldpay to more platforms. Affirm also launched offerings with Fanatics for sports fans, FuturHealth for healthcare payment plans, and secured an expanded partnership with New York Life for additional funding, while recent institutional investor activity has seen Rareview Capital LLC and Elyxium Wealth LLC acquire new positions in its shares.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, views Affirm's sharp drop as a strong technical and sentiment warning. He notes that despite recent earnings and partnership news, the price sits well below key moving averages. Technical momentum is distinctly bearish, and oversold indicators do not suggest reversal, undermining confidence in a short-term recovery. The ongoing selloff and high volatility point to structural weakness, especially if the MA-200 fails. "Despite headline growth, I see persistent vulnerability and would not rule out new lows if the $64.20 support breaks," says Kharitonov.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, remains constructive on Affirm’s outlook. He emphasizes the company’s strong revenue beat and expanding partnerships, which signal robust business momentum. Institutional accumulation supports the stock’s fundamental resilience. The current volatility offers new entry points, as the bullish structure remains intact above the $64.20 level. "Further growth is expected, and I see multiple setups favoring recovery as Affirm builds on its recent wins," Karapetjanc asserts.

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, sees short-term sentiment heavily bearish as technical signals confirm selling pressure. He identifies the oversold readings as potential inflection areas, anticipating volatility-driven setups for active traders. A clear break of $64.20 may invite fresh downside, but stabilization near $68 could result in tactical rebounds. "Momentum-driven intraday plays are available for nimble traders, but keeping stops tight is crucial in this environment," he advises.

Bearish momentum intensifies as technical indicators confirm selling

Momentum signals remain negative, with the daily MACD giving a strong sell and ADX showing weak trend strength. The RSI, CCI, and Stoch RSI are all pointing to oversold or selling conditions. The BBP indicates that sellers dominate intraday momentum, with the Awesome Oscillator also supporting the ongoing bearish tone. Today's sharp drop of $4.21, or 5.89%, occurred without a noteworthy gap between the previous close ($71.52) and today’s open ($71.14). The price is currently near the bottom of today’s range ($67.65 — $71.44), indicating high volatility and persistent downside pressure after the opening bell. Overall, the selling momentum is reinforced by both daily indicators and intraday action, with no bullish divergence present.

Previously it was noted that AFRM was experiencing mixed momentum and oversold oscillators as resistance and support converge. The news highlighted how further downside favored as recovery odds remain limited for the asset based on technical indicators.

Source of Data: AFRM Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.