Ethereum price prediction: Bearish momentum persists as ETH tests new lows

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Ethereum slides 1.92% to $1,936 today

Highlights

US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $129.1 million in one-day outflows after prior inflows, with total Ethereum ETF AUM stabilizing at $13 billion.
Fidelity’s FETH ETF achieved a $67.32 million daily inflow, boosting its AUM to $1.52 billion as 36.7 million ETH—over 30% of supply—remains staked.
Ethereum trades well below MA-20 ($2,390.16), MA-50 ($2,818.45), and MA-200 ($3,571.89), with technicals signaling strong bearish momentum and high downside risk toward $1,880.

Mixed ETF flows and staking surge shape market positioning

US spot Ethereum ETFs reported combined outflows of $129.1 million in one day, reversing previous inflows, while total assets under management stabilized at $13 billion. Meanwhile, Fidelity’s FETH Ethereum ETF reported a significant $67.32 million inflow that raised its assets under management to $1.52 billion, and US-listed Ether ETFs collectively saw $71 million in net inflows during a volatile week. Approximately 36.7 million ETH, or over 30% of the total supply, is now staked, and Ethereum continues to support around 68% of the total value locked in DeFi. The network’s technical roadmap includes major upcoming upgrades such as Pectra and expansion of Layer-2 scaling solutions.

Oversold indicators and absent support intensify downtrend

Momentum indicators reinforce the bearish tone: both MACD (strongly negative) and ADX (above 40) confirm robust downward momentum and an active sell trend. The Daily RSI is in the oversold region at 28.77, Bull/Bear Power is heavily negative (oversold), and the Commodity Channel Index is also in the sell zone, confirming strong seller dominance. The nearest resistance is set by the Ichimoku Kijun at $2,558.31, while there are no major support levels nearby. Moderate intraday volatility and seller pressure have kept Ethereum near the bottom of its daily range, in line with persistent bearish signals.

Downside risk prevails as rebound odds stay limited

Over the next five days, the expected trading range for Ethereum is $1,880 to $2,025, representing a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a price increase remains very low (less than 20%), while the likelihood of further downside is high. Barring relief from short-term sellers, Ethereum is likely to consolidate sideways within the $1,880 to $2,025 range. A decisive breakout above $2,025 or the Ichimoku Kijun would require a reversal of current momentum, but renewed downside below $1,880 remains the most probable scenario.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees clear and persistent bearish momentum for Ethereum. Strong institutional flows are not enough to counter the technical weakness, with all major indicators and moving averages pointing lower. He believes downside risk dominates the current setup. "Until ETH decisively reclaims $2,025 or the Ichimoku Kijun, I expect seller pressure to keep prices capped and see little reason for optimism here."

Last time, analysts noted that AZTEC surged 20% following its major exchange debut, buoyed by strong trading volume and liquidity rotation from major cryptocurrencies. Currently, the token is holding above $0.020, with initial support at this level and further downside risk toward $0.018 and $0.015 if momentum weakens.

Source of Data: ETH Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.