Solana price prediction: Will strong inflows offset resistance? SOL surges 6.06%

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Solana gains 6.06% today to $90.37

Highlights

Solana's network reached a record $650 billion stablecoin transaction volume last month, spurring increased institutional demand.
Spot Solana ETFs pulled in $63 million net inflows since October, while new partnerships expanded on-chain IPO and fiat on-ramp services.
SOL trades with short-term bullish momentum but remains below key resistance, with a likely price range of $82–$97 and higher downside risk this week.

Institutional inflows rise as stablecoin volume and whale activity surge

Solana's network saw stablecoin transaction volumes hit a record $650 billion last month, drawing increased attention from institutional investors. Spot Solana ETFs have attracted $63 million in net inflows since October, including $18.44 million over the past two sessions. Recent developments include rising on-chain activity, significant whale accumulation near the $92–$95 resistance area, and the launch of an on-chain IPO service by Backpack in partnership with Superstate. Additionally, Crossmint and Western Union have partnered to make stablecoin access and real-world cash conversions more accessible on Solana's network.

Overbought signals emerge as buyers test resistance amid mixed momentum

Momentum signals are mixed on the daily chart: the MACD issues a strong sell, and the ADX shows persistent but weakening bearish strength. The RSI is neutral to positive at 52, while Stochastic RSI and CCI both indicate overbought conditions, pointing to a rally that may be stretched. Bull/Bear Power is in overbought territory, signaling dominant buyer activity today, whereas the Awesome Oscillator is neutral and does not confirm trend support. SOL gained $5.16 (up 6.06%) since the previous close, opened higher, and now trades near the day's range high ($89.64 – $91.38), reflecting robust intraday volatility and buyer strength; however, overbought signals versus strong momentum suggest caution as near-term resistance approaches.

Downside risk elevated as broad trend constrains near-term rally

Over the next five trading days, SOL is likely to fluctuate within a $82 – $97 volatility band relative to current levels. The statistical probability of further upside is considered low (less than 20%), while downside potential is more pronounced due to persistent medium- and long-term sell pressure. Price stabilization within this range is the base case scenario. A sustained rally would require a clear breakout above $97, while a drop below $82 could trigger a bearish move.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Solana’s price action shows short-term strength but remains under pressure from longer-term selling. He sees increased institutional interest and on-chain activity as positives, yet technical signals are mixed and momentum appears overstretched. Near-term, Kharitonov expects volatility within the $82 – $97 range with a lower probability for further upside. "Given persistent sell pressure and overbought signals, I remain cautious until Solana confirms a breakout above $97 or stabilizes above key supports."

Previously it was reported that Solana is displaying short-term bullish momentum, trading above its 20-day moving average but remaining constrained below the 50- and 200-day averages, as inflows and ecosystem growth support modest gains. However, mixed momentum signals and resistance near $87.25–$90.00 indicate that price action is likely to consolidate sideways within defined support and resistance, with broader trends still favoring selling pressure.

Source of Data: SOL Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.