XRP price prediction: Will $1.2850 support hold? XRP trades down

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XRP slides 1.16% today to $1.33

Highlights

XRPL will block non-upgraded nodes after May 27, 2026, requiring all operators to adopt version 3.1.3 as the fixCleanup3_1_3 amendment activates, targeting NFT offer deletion and lending bug fixes.
Regulatory visibility remains mixed, as the Senate advances a bill to classify XRP as a commodity, while a recent executive order mandates further review of crypto market access by the Federal Reserve.
XRP trades below major moving averages amid weak momentum, with a projected trading range of $1.29 to $1.35 and downside risk prevailing.

Upgrade mandate and regulatory shift as network readiness lags

The XRP Ledger is requiring all network operators to upgrade to XRPL version 3.1.3 by May 27, 2026, as the fixCleanup3_1_3 amendment will activate and block non-upgraded nodes from network access. The amendment, which automates the deletion of expired NFT offers and patches lending protocol bugs, has achieved 100% validator support, but as of mid-May, node upgrade adoption is estimated at only 40-46%. Broader regulatory uncertainties persist after a May 19 executive order directed a Federal Reserve review of non-bank and crypto firm access (including Ripple) to major payment systems, while partial clarity was provided through the Senate Banking Committee's approval of a bill that would officially classify XRP as a commodity under US law.

Bearish momentum dominates as price tests oversold technical levels

Technically, XRP is trading below the MA-20 at $1.3996, MA-50 at $1.3981, and MA-200 at $1,674.3, with the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.4258 defining immediate overhead resistance. Momentum indicators remain negative: MACD and ADX both reflect bearish control, while RSI at 38.9, Stoch RSI at 2.46, and CCI at -104 signal oversold conditions. BBP values point to ongoing seller dominance intraday, with price consolidating near the bottom of today’s narrow trading range of $1.3217 to $1.3331 and low overall volatility. No price gap was observed at the open, and the Awesome Oscillator is neutral, providing little confirmation or divergence among signals and supporting sustained weakness.

Sideways trading outlook as momentum remains with sellers

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to move within a $1.2850 to $1.3500 range, reflecting typical volatility for current conditions. The likelihood of an upward move remains low, with sellers favored by weekly trend and momentum signals. Price is likely to oscillate in a sideways corridor between $1.29 and $1.35 unless buying momentum emerges. A decisive breakout above $1.43 would be required to signal a reversal, while continued oversold momentum and intensified selling could lead to a drop below $1.29.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees technical and regulatory headwinds weighing on XRP. He notes low node upgrade adoption for XRPL v3.1.3 and ongoing policy uncertainty after the US executive order. Market structure remains clearly bearish with oversold conditions and no bullish confirmation for now. "Unless XRP reclaims $1.43 and regulatory clarity emerges, I expect sellers to stay in control and price to remain rangebound or drift lower."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP was experiencing persistent bearish momentum, with technical indicators pointing toward subdued price action and limited upside prospects. The latest developments reaffirm this outlook, as continued sell-side pressure and incomplete network upgrades keep the focus on the $1.29 level as a pivotal support to watch for any acceleration in downside risk.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.