Kaspa price prediction: Bearish trend easing? KAS surges 7.73% intraday

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Kaspa rises 7.73% today

Highlights

Kaspa (KAS) trades at $0.0477, below its MA-20 ($0.0530), MA-50 ($0.0664), and MA-200 ($0.0842), signaling persistent bearish momentum across all timeframes.
Despite a 7.73% intraday jump, technical indicators such as MACD, ADX, and oscillators remain bearish, while short-term volatility reflects mixed sentiment and price strength near today's highs.
Five-day forecast places KAS within a $0.0172–$0.0440 range, assigning less than 20% probability to upside and higher likelihood of a decline if $0.0424 support fails.

Intraday rebound diverges from sustained daily weakness

Momentum remains weak on the daily timeframe, with both MACD and ADX showing bearish signals. Multiple oscillators point to an oversold environment, as RSI hovers at 30, Stoch RSI has fully reset, and CCI reads deep negative. Despite this, intraday BBP suggests sellers continue to dominate momentum, while the Awesome Oscillator supports the overall bearish structure. Price jumped 7.73% intraday to $0.0477, with only a minor gap between yesterday’s close and today’s open. The price now stands near today’s high within a $0.042–$0.0475 range, reflecting high intraday volatility and strength toward highs after the open. There is a clear divergence between intraday recovery and ongoing weakness on higher timeframes, highlighting mixed short-term sentiment.

Downside favored as breakout needs resistance breach

For the next five trading days, the expected range is $0.0172–$0.0440, with very low probability (less than 20%) of a further price increase and a much higher likelihood of decline. The baseline scenario is for KAS to move within a sideways corridor between $0.0420 and $0.0475. A bullish scenario would require a break above short-term resistance near $0.0530, opening room for further recovery. In a bearish case, price falling below $0.0424 support could accelerate the downtrend toward the lower end of the projected range.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Kaspa (KAS) facing persistent bearish pressure, with price trading below all major moving averages and confirming weakness on daily momentum indicators. While oversold oscillators hint at potential exhaustion among sellers, high intraday volatility and a lack of supporting news do little to inspire confidence in a sustained recovery. His base case remains a sideways movement between $0.0420 and $0.0475, with a higher probability of decline unless key resistance at $0.0530 is reclaimed. "Until KAS breaks convincingly above $0.0530, I remain cautious and see limited upside in the short term."

Last time we reported that Kaspa remained under persistent selling pressure and was trading below its key moving averages. It was also noted that technical indicators provided strong sell signals, with momentum indicators confirm the bearish environment and no reversal signals were present.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.