AST SpaceMobile stock: Persistent downward momentum signals reinforce 3.45% slide after TELUS agreement

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AST SpaceMobile slides 3.45% today

Highlights

AST SpaceMobile secured a commercial partnership with TELUS to deploy satellite cellular broadband across remote Canadian regions, moving to commercial operations in 2025.
The company reported $70.9 million in 2025 revenue driven by gateway hardware, government milestones, and strong operator demand, shifting from demo to market rollout.
Technically, ASTS faces continued short- and medium-term selling pressure, with most momentum indicators bearish, and a likely trading range of $81.00–$89.00 for the coming week.

Commercial pivot and new deals amid lingering market pressure

AST SpaceMobile announced a commercial agreement with TELUS Corporation to deploy a space-based cellular broadband network in Canada, aiming to serve remote regions with direct-to-device connectivity. The company reported it ended 2025 at the upper end of guidance, generating $70.9 million of revenue for the year, including $54.3 million in gateway hardware, government milestone payments, and consulting for mobile operators in the fourth quarter. AST SpaceMobile has shifted from technology demonstration to commercial operations, supported by ongoing demand from network operators and government initiatives, and detailed future unit economics for its satellite constellation. Collaboration with AT&T on enhancing rural network coverage through satellite connectivity was also reported, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish daily signals as oscillators diverge on reversal risk

Momentum signals on the D1 timeframe are predominantly bearish, with MACD showing strong sell and ADX reading neutral at low strength. RSI is below 50 and forecasts "Sell," while Stoch RSI and CCI are neutral, but multiple intraday timeframes indicate oversold or sell conditions. The BBP remains elevated at 3.41 and forecasts "overbought," suggesting recent buyer dominance with heightened reversal risk. Awesome Oscillator is neutral and does not meaningfully support the ongoing decline. The stock opened with a small downward gap from $88.21 to $87.09 and now trades near today's low, highlighting high intraday volatility and persistent pressure after the open. Most oscillators align with daily momentum for a sustained negative tone, though BBP's overbought reading creates a divergence pointing to potential exhaustion on the sell side.

Upside favored within defined band as volatility constrains moves

In the next five sessions, ASTS is expected to trade within a volatility band between $81.00 and $89.00, relative to current levels. The weekly outlook assigns a high probability (over 80%) to a price increase, making declines less likely. Price action is expected to consolidate between $81.00 and $89.00 unless momentum shifts. A bullish move would require a clear break above the $96.94 resistance, while a drop below $81.00 would put long-term support near $78.00–$80.00 into focus.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees AST SpaceMobile under technical pressure despite recent commercial deals and robust annual revenue. He notes bearish daily momentum and that oscillators largely support continued downside, while fundamentals have yet to shift sentiment positively. The key resistance at $96.94 remains intact and a cautious approach is warranted unless this level is reclaimed. "Until we see a clear break above $96.94, any upside should be treated as corrective, not the start of a new trend."

Previously it was reported that AST SpaceMobile is trading above its short-term moving averages but remains just under key medium-term resistance, with longer-term trend indicators showing firm underlying support. Momentum signals are mixed, as a daily MACD sell contrasts with intraday bullishness and neutral readings from RSI and ADX, suggesting elevated volatility and uncertainty in directional conviction amid expanding weekly ranges.

Source of Data: ASTS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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