Avalanche steadies near $34 while inflows highlight renewed demand

Avalanche steadies near $34 while inflows highlight renewed demand
Avalanche price consolidates above $34 as bulls defend key EMA support and eye breakout toward the $38–40 resistance zone

​Avalanche (AVAX) is currently trading at $34.23, holding its ground after a strong rally that lifted the token from the $22 zone earlier this month. The price has reclaimed the 20-day EMA at $32.76 and the 50-day EMA at $31.45, while staying comfortably above the 100-day EMA at $29.88 and 200-day EMA at $27.93. This EMA alignment supports a short-term bullish bias. Immediate resistance lies at $35.00–$36.00, while key support rests at $32.00–$31.00. The RSI at 70.0 signals overbought conditions, hinting at potential consolidation before another leg higher.

Key highlights

- AVAX holds above $34 after rallying from $22 lows

- September 23 netflows recorded +$18.5M inflows, one of the highest in months

- Fundamentals supported by RWA traction, DeFi TVL growth, and ETF speculation

Technical and on-chain picture

On-chain flows underline the elevated volatility. Netflows on September 23 showed +$18.5M inflows, one of the largest spikes in months, followed by modest outflows the next day. This suggests liquidity is being moved onto exchanges, but aggressive selling has not yet materialized. AVAX’s market cap stands at $13.1B, placing it back within the top-15 crypto assets and underscoring renewed investor attention.

Avalanche price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Technically, AVAX is positioned in a constructive setup, holding above reclaimed EMAs. The short-term challenge is the $35–36 resistance band, which must be cleared to open the path toward $38–40, levels last tested in early 2022. Failure to hold above $32 could invite a pullback into the $29.80 support zone, where the 100-day EMA provides a cushion.

Fundamental positioning and outlook

From a fundamental's perspective, Avalanche continues to benefit from strong ecosystem momentum. DeFi and real-world asset (RWA) integrations have pushed total value locked (TVL) above $1.9B, its highest level since 2022. ETF speculation has added another layer of support, though recent SEC delays on spot AVAX ETF proposals have temporarily capped enthusiasm. Institutional adoption remains central, with Avalanche positioning itself as a high-throughput, low-latency chain for financial markets and tokenized assets.

Despite these strengths, traders remain cautious of short-term overbought conditions and external risks, including ETF approval timelines and Bitcoin dominance levels. Nonetheless, Avalanche’s growing RWA narrative and DeFi adoption continue to provide a solid longer-term foundation.

Short-term outlook

Looking ahead, AVAX sits at a critical breakout juncture. Sustaining above $34 keeps the bullish structure intact and sets up a retest of $38–40. If momentum stalls and price breaks below $32, downside risk opens toward $29.80, where buyers may attempt to re-enter. Broader market risk sentiment, particularly Bitcoin dominance and regulatory updates around ETFs, will likely dictate AVAX’s next move.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.
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